Boxing Betting Free Picks
IBF World Lightweight Title Bout - Ngoudjo vs. Urango
by Charles Jay
Here are the BetUS online boxing betting odds:
IBF Light Welterweight Title
January 30 -- Montreal
HERMAN NGOUDJO -150
JUAN URANGO +120
Over 11.5 Rounds -220
Under 11.5 Rounds +175
For betting purposes, let's size up the contestants:
NGOUDJO (17-2, 9 KO's), the -150 favorite in the BetUS Sportsbook boxing sports betting odds, is a native of Cameroon who represented that country in the 2000 Olympic Games. He now lives in Montreal and has fought the bulk of his professional bouts there. He turned pro in November 2003 with a second-round TKO over Stephane Savage. After wins over journeymen like Emanuel Augustus, Eloy Rojas and John Brown, he beat Donald Camarena for the NABF 140-pound title in October 2006. Ngoudjo defended against Jose Louis Castillo and fought on even terms for all twelve rounds, dropping a split decision when he lost on two of the three judges' scorecards. He rebounded from that by beating power-punching Randall Bailey, and earned a fight with Paul Malignaggi for the IBF world title. Ngoudjo represented himself well, but did not have the speed to match the "Magic Man" and lost a unanimous decision. In his last fight, Ngoudjo won another IBF title eliminator with a decision over Souleymane M'baye. That was in June.
URANGO (20-1-1, 16 KO's), the +120 underdog at BetUS, is a native Colombian who is now living in Miami. All of his early fights were held in either Colombia or Spain, and he made his U.S. Debut in June 2004 with a six-round decision over previously undefeated Sergey Sorokin. Immediately after that, he was put in with Mike Arnaoutis, and boxed to a draw with the man who later went on to fight for the WBO title. After scoring wins over Francisco Campos and Andre Eason, Urango was matched with Nauofel Ben Rabah with the vacant IBF light welterweight title at stake, and came out with a 12-round unanimous decision, winning by three points on one scorecard, two on another and six on yet another. Urango put that title on the line against Ricky Hatton in January of 2007, and was never really in the fight, losing the decision by ten points on all three cards. Urango got back into the title picture on April 23 of last year, when he floored Carlos Wilfredo Vilches in the first round and went on to knock him out in four rounds in what was an IBF eliminator.
As title fights go, this is not one that is incredibly significant; in fact, it is probably a sign of the times that two fighters who are not overly experienced or accomplished against world class opposition would be in a world championship fight, and not for the first time either. The attractiveness of this matchup doesn't reside in its impact on the world scene, but in its competitive nature, at least on paper.
Both of these fighters have been pretty well "steered" by management, and have had connections with sanctioning bodies. Urango's best opponent has been better than Ngoudjo's (Hatton), but it could probably be said that in fights against good opponents, Ngoudjo has done a little better. He has faced styles which have widely varied, going from a smart veteran who still had a little left (Jose Luis Castillo) to a big, raw puncher (Randall Bailey) to an elusive slickster (Malignaggi). The fight with Castillo could have gone either way, and Malignaggi usually presents a difficult opponent. He's no stranger to southpaws, having faced the likes of Donald Camarena and Juan Carlos Aldrete in 12-round fights.
So I guess what I'm saying is that there is not going to be very much in the way of surprise brought to the table by Urango, a left-hander who will stay in front of him for the most part. Urango has been to the 12th round three different times, while Ngoudjo has gone into the 12th round in each of his last nine bouts. There is no question that he is durable, which means there is an increasing possibility that the judges are going to get involved.
Knowing that, we have to factor in Ngoudjo's "home field advantage." This fight is taking place in Montreal, and between that city and other parts of Quebec, he's had 16 fights there. He is the "house" fighter, belonging to promoter Yvon Michel. It is often an arduous hill to climb when fighting in Canada against the "hometown" fighter.
That's the difference for us in this near pick'em bout. We're going with Ngoudjo. the -150 favorite in the BetUS boxing betting odds.
JAY'S PLAYS: NGOUDJO TO WIN (-150) *** and OVER 11.5 ROUNDS (-220) **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
(Charles Jay is a former manager, matchmaker and color commentator in professional boxing. He currently pulls no punches in the BetUS Locker Room)




