Boxing Betting Free Picks
Roy Jones Jr. vs. Jeff Lacy - Last Call for Somebody
by Charles Jay

JONES VS. LACY: LAST CALL FOR SOMEBODY
Light Heavyweights (12 rounds)
August 15 -- Biloxi
ROY JONES JR. -450
JEFF LACY +325
OVER 9.5 ROUNDS -210
UNDER 9.5 ROUNDS +165
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Fight Outcomes
Roy Jones Jr. by KO, TKO or Disqualification +200
Roy Jones Jr. by Decision or Technical Decision -130
Jeff Lacy by KO, TKO or Disqualification +400
Jeff Lacy by Decision or Technical Decision +1100
Draw or Technical Draw +2500
JONES (53-5, 39 KO's), the -450 favorite in the BetUS boxing betting odds, has a story that is well-chronicled. The National Golden Glove champion at both 139 and 156 pounds, Jones made the 1988 Olympic team and was named Outstanding Boxer in the Games, even though he lost the gold medal match in one of the most outrageous robberies in history. He has won world championships at middleweight, super middleweight, light heavyweight and heavyweight. Jones defeated Bernard Hopkins for the IBF 160-pound title in May 1993, completely dominated James Toney for the IBF super middleweight championship a year and a half later and scored an easy shutout decision over Hall of Famer Mike McCallum for the WBC 175-pound belt in November 1996. After a number of defenses, Jones jumped to heavyweight and, at 193 pounds, beat John Ruiz, with room to spare, for the WBA title in March 2003.
Jones, who lost on a questionable disqualification to Montell Griffin earlier in his career (and avenged it with a one-round KO), lost three straight bouts after he turned 35; twice to Antonio Tarver (including a second-round KO) and another knockout loss to Glen Johnson. He then scored three wins in a row - over Prince Badi Ajamu, previously unbeaten Anthony Hanshaw, and Felix Trinidad, then challenged undefeated Joe Calzaghe at light heavyweight. He put Calzaghe down in the first round, but lost control of things as Calzaghe boxed his way to an easy decision. In his last fight, on March 21, Jones stopped former contender Omar Sheika in five rounds.
LACY (25-2, 17 KO's), the +325 underdog at BetUS, won 209 out of 221 amateur bouts, and after winning the U.S. amateur title in 1998, won the Olympic Trials and right to represent the U.S. at the 2000 Olympics, where he lost in the third round of competition. Lacy came into the pros with much pomp and circumstance, and won his first four pro bouts by first-round KO. He was able to work his way through a number of fringe contenders such as Ross Thompson, James Crawford, Richard Grant and Donnell Wiggins on his way up the ladder, before winning the IBF super middleweight crown in October of 2004 with an eighth-round TKO of Syd Vanderpool. After four defenses against middling opposition, he got his big chance at a payday as he fought Joe Calzaghe in March of 2006 with the IBF and WBO belts on the line.
In that fight, Lacy was completely befuddled and dominated, going down in the 12th round and losing the decision by twelve point son two scorecards and fourteen points on the other. He came back to action nine month later with a decision win over Vitali Tsypko, but tore the rotator cuff of his left shoulder and also ripped the tendon right off the shoulder. After the surgery, he sat out a year before scoring a win over Peter Manfredo. Last November he was beat, almost by shutout, at the hands of Jermain Taylor, in what was a WBC 168-pound title eliminator. His last fight was April 10, when Lacy beat journeyman Otis Griffin on a majority decision.
The loss to Calzaghe was a concern for Lacy in more ways than one, because it showed how far Lacy had to go before truly being able to match up with a technician. It was clear that Lacy was ill-equipped, and without a game plan. Well, he has a technician here to deal with, albeit an aging one.
Jones is at the point in is career where he has to figure out different ways to win fights. He is not going to be light years ahead of any of his opponents, but he's still quicker than most of them and knows how to place his punches. Lacy does not fall into the category of a guy who is going to outsmart Jones, or beat him to the punch with a degree of regularity. Remember that Jones is also safety-first for the most part, so I doubt you're going to see Lacy building up points round after round unless Jones completely freezes in there. I'm not even sure Lacy could have done that in his "prime."
I think we know what we are getting with Jones - a guy who can beat all the guys who are not part of the elite of the division, whether that be light heavyweight or super middleweight. What Lacy has done since recovering from his injury is not impressive, frankly. A decision over Manfredo, a club fighter, which was frightfully close to going the other way; a majority nod over Epifiano Mendoza, a big puncher without much boxing ability, the loss to Taylor, by ten, ten and eight points on the cards, and a close call against Griffin, an ordinary guy who has lost five of his last six fights, don't say much for his ability to hang against someone with class.
I wouldn't make a straight play on Jones to win, because I can get a better price with a proposition. Jones by decision at -130 would be somewhat appetizing, but among the other boxing betting odds. Bingo!
JAY'S PLAY: JONES TO WIN BY 12-ROUND DECISION (+105) ****
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)




