Championship Series Betting Breakdown – Powerful Texas in Desperation Mode for Game 2
BetUS MLB baseball bettors need to know one very important thing before the start of tonight’s Game 2 matchup of the 2011 Championship Series.
After losing Game 1 3-2 to the red-hot St. Louis Cardinals (98-76 SU, 93-75-6 O/U, 83-91 RL), the Texas Rangers (103-70 SU, 91-73-9 O/U, 99-74 RL) and their collection of powerful hitters are in absolute ‘desperation mode’ as they get set for tonight’s Game 2 showdown.
However, it is that desperation – and Texas’ collection of gifted hitters – that makes me believe tonight’s Game 2 matchup is closer to a lock than the nail-biting affair the two teams staged on Wednesday night.
2011 Baseball World Series
Game 2: Live from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO
Oct. 19, 8:05 PM ET
The Texas Rangers are favored to win this year’s World series, but they were also favored to beat the San Francisco Giants last season and that didn’t happen, so nothing is ever a given in the world of professional sports.
Besides, the more I think about it, the Cardinals remind me a lot of last year’s Giants, with their underappreciated lineup that consistently overachieves. Nevertheless, I think last year’s experiences will help the Rangers this time around.
The Cardinals took Game 1 as Chris Carpenter out-dueled C.J. Wilson in a fairly tight and interesting ballgame.
Mike Napoli went 1-for-2 at the plate with one walk and blasted a two-run jack for Texas. Ian Kinsler and Adrian Beltre each added two hits in the loss, thought Texas recorded just six total hits overall.
Lance Berkman went 2-for-4 with two RBIs and Allen Craig added another RBI that turned out to be the game-winner as St. Louis was also held to just six hits.
MLB Game 2 Odds
Texas Rangers -1½ +140 -120
Colby Lewis – L
St. Louis Cardinals +1½ -160 +100
Jamie Garcia – L
Over 8 -115
Under 8 -105
Analysis: Tonight, Texas will hand the ball to talented right-hander Colby Lewis (15-11, 4.37 ERA) while the Cardinals counter with left-hander Jamie Garcia (13-9, 3.72 ERA).
Lewis has gone 2-1 with a solid 3.57 ERA over his last three starts while Garcia has gone 0-2 with a high 5.74 ERA over the same span.
Lewis limited Tampa Bay to one run in six innings in his only appearance in the ALDS but gave up four runs on eight hits in 5.2 innings of a 5-2 loss to Detroit in the ALCS.
Garcia gave up three runs in seven innings in his only appearance against Philadelphia in the NLDS before getting pounded by Milwaukee for six runs on six hits – including two home runs – in just 4.0 innings of a 9-6 loss to the Brewers. Garcia did look a lot better in holding the Brewers to one run in 4.2 innings in his last start, though he did give up a whopping seven hits during the brief stint.
The Texas Rangers should have a good shot to even the Series tonight as they’ve gone 7-40 on the road this season, nearly an identical mark to St. Louis’ 49-38 home record this season.
I also like the fact that Texas’ Colby Lewis has been rock-solid on the road this season. Lewis recorded nine of his 14 wins on the road this season while posting an ERA nearly two runs lower than his home ERA (3.43 ERA in 17 road starts). Lewis has been rock-solid in the month of October the last two seasons, going 4-1 with a stellar 2.37 ERA during the span.
The good news for baseball bettors that like St. Louis is the fact that Jamie Garcia has gone 9-4 with a fine 2.55 ERA in 15 home starts this season.
Still, I like the Rangers to get the narrow SU win tonight by getting a few runs off of Garcia and a few more off of the Cardinals’ overachieving bullpen.
Texas is 4-0 in its L/4 playoff games as a favorite and 6-1 in their L7 games against a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 10-3 in Colby Lewis last 13 starts as a favorite and 4-1 in the right-hander’s L/5 starts as a road favorite.
St. Louis won’t go quietly into the night, having gone 9-2 in their L/11 games against a team with a winning road record and 19-7 in their L/26 games against a right-handed starter.
St. Louis has also gone 11-1 in Jamie Garcia’s last dozen home starts against a team with a winning record, but once again baseball bettors, I like the ‘sheer desperation’ factor to play a big role in Texas winning tonight!
MLB Pick: Texas Rangers SU Win