MLB ALCS Game 4 Betting Preview - Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros
Wednesday, October 17th - 8:39pm ET - Minute Maid Park
Betting Line: Houston -151, Total 8.5

Game 4 of the American League Championship Series goes down tonight, Wednesday, October 17th at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. The Boston Red Sox lead the series of the Houston Astros 2-1.

Game 3 of the series was a close one…right up until the 8th inning. Boston led the Astros 3-2 to start the 8th when Roberto Osuna was subbed in to relieve Ryan Pressly. Osuna, you may remember, was serving a 75-game suspension due to a domestic violence charge when the Astros traded pitchers Ken Giles, David Paulino, and Hector Perez for him. That decision may have cost them a trip to the World Series.

Osuna would go hit Brock Holt and Mitch Moreland back-to-back. The Moreland walk allowed Pearce to score, making the game 4-2. Up to the plate would come Jackie Bradley Jr., who hit one 386 feet over the right field wall for a grand slam. Just like that, the game was 8-2 before the inning was over. Houston never scored again.

Despite their struggles in Game 3, Houston remains the best hitting team this postseason. They lead the MLB with a .262 batting average, 11 home runs, a .379 on base percentage, and a .480 slugging percentage.

Rick Porcello will get the start for Boston. The Red Sox are 6-1 in Porcello's last 7 starts. They're 2-2 vs Houston in Porcello's four Boston starts vs the Astros, including a two-game streak.

As an Astro, starting pitcher Charlie Morton is 3-1 vs the Boston Red Sox. Houston's success with Morton on the mound has been less predictable. The Astros are 4-4 in Morton's last 8 starts due to lack of run support. In Morton's last four losses, the Stros were able to muster up just 12 runs while giving up 15. That doesn't bode well when they're going up against a Boston team that's averaging 6.3 runs per game in the postseason.

This will be Morton's first appearance since September 30th. He had been dealing with discomfort in his throwing shoulder before this extended break.

Houston can clearly score with the best of them, however, the pressure is now on them. They've lost two straight and face a pitcher in Rick Porcello that went 17-7 this season.

This is a must-win game for Houston. Teams that have gone up 2-1 with a Game 3 win on the road in the 2-3-2 playoff era are 27 of 36 (75%).

Boston has shown all year that they're the best in baseball. They finished the regular season 51-30 on the road, which is actually better than Houston's 46-35 home record. I'm all for feeding the hot hand. Boston is as hot as it gets. I like the Red Sox +136 in Game 4 of the American League Championship Series.