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ALCS Game 1 Showdown – Angels vs. Yankees

Bookmark and Share by Eric Williams

The Los Angeles Angels (100-65 SU, 93-71 RL, 84-74-6 O/U) will both be looking to get off to a solid start in their ALCS showdown when they square off at Yankee Stadium in Game 1 tonight at 7:45 PM ET.

The Yankees swept the Minnesota Twins in their ALDS matchup, winning the series finale 4-1 as a -165 favorite on Sunday as the game’s five total runs played Under the 9.5-run O/U total.

Jorge Posada homered and drove in a pair of runs for New York, and Alex Rodriguez hit a solo home run in that win.

The Angles also pulled off a sweep of the Boston Red Sox in their ALDS matchup, winning the series finale 7-6 as a +125 underdog on Sunday as the game’s 13 combined runs played Over the 9-run Over/Under total.

Vladimir Guerrero and Juan Rivera each drove in a pair of runs for Los Angeles, while Bobby Abreu was 3-5 with an RBI and two runs scored in the victory.

Tonight, the Angels will give the ball to right-handed staff ace John Lackey (12-8, 3.68 ERA) while the Yankees counter with southpaw, CC Sabathia (20-8, 3.31 ERA).

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends and MLB Odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert MLB Free Picks.

  • Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
  • Angels are 10-1 in their last 11 overall.
  • Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Angels are 4-1 in Lackey’s last 5 starts vs. American League East.
  • Angels are 6-13 in Lackey’s last 19 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.
  • Yankees are 40-12 in their last 52 home games.
  • Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 League Championship games.
  • Yankees are 4-0 in Sabathia’s last 4 starts vs. American League West.
  • Yankees are 8-0 in Sabathia’s last 8 home starts.
  • Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathia’s last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Lackeys last 4 starts vs. Yankees.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
  • Under is 5-1 in Lackeys last 6 road starts vs. Yankees.
  • Angels are 5-2 in Lackeys last 7 starts vs. Yankees.
  • Over is 17-7 in the last 24 meetings.
  • Angels are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

MLB Odds

  • Los Angeles Angels +1½ -140
  • John Lackey –R +155
  • New York Yankees -1½ +120
  • CC Sabathia –L -175Over 8½ -110
  • Under 8½ -110

The Starters: John Lackey has gone 1-0 over his last three starts with a 5.02 ERA while CC Sabathia has gone 2-1 over his last three starts with a 3.31 ERA.

Analysis: First and foremost, MLB betting sharps should know the Angels hit a robust .300 against Yankees’ left-hander CC Sabathia.

Sure, the Yankees have gone a perfect 4-0 in Sabathia’s last four starts against AL West ballclubs and an absolutely incendiary 8-0 in Sabathia’s last eight home starts, but New York will be facing a red-hot Angels team that will not be intimidated and has gone a blistering 5-0 in their last five road games and 10-1 in their last 11 games overall.

The Angels have also gone 6-1 in their last seven games against a team with a winning record while New York has gone a dismal 0-4 in their last four LCS games.

While the Angels have gone a discouraging 1-5 in their last six games against the Yankees in New York, I like them to take the opening game of this series as they’ve gone an impressive 5-2 in Lackeys last seven starts against New York.

With almost every key O/U trend in this contest pointing toward an over outcome, I say play the Over as well in this MLB parlay pick.

The Angels and the Over are the pick here BetUS MLB sports betting members.

MLB Free Picks: Angels SU Win/Over 8½ Total Runs