MLB Betting - Cubs (20-22) at Padres (24-20)
by Eric Williams
Tonight’s matchup between the Cubs and Padres features two of baseball’s best young pitchers.
The Padres are 6-4 in their last ten games and Chicago are 4-6 over the same span.
Will Padres starter Jake Peavy silence the Cubs powerful bats, or will Chicago’s Rich Hill get back to pitching the way he did the first month of the season when he was almost as untouchable as Peavy?
Here are tonight’s trends followed by my Free MLB Pick:
Key Cub Trends
The Cubs are 8-1 in their last 9 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
The Cubs are 7-2 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
The Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Key Padres Trends
The Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
The Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
The Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
The Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 games as a road underdog.
The Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
The Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games following an off day.
Key Head to Head
The Under is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings in San Diego.
The Cubs are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings.
The Cubs are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.
For a more in-depth report on this game click Baseball Trends.
The Pitchers: Cubs starting pitcher Rich Hill is 4-3 in eight starts over 52.2 innings. Hill has 46 strikeouts 19 walks and an ERA of 2.91.
Padres starting pitcher Jake Peavy is 5-1 in nine starts coving 60.1 innings. Peavy has an ERA of 1.64 with 71 strikeouts and 18 walks.
Though I really like Cubs starter Rich Hill, going against Peavy right now would be pure foolishness for baseball bettors.
Peavy has been throwing virtually no-hit stuff all season and should continue that trends tonight against the Cubs.
MLB Free Pick: Take the Padres to cover in what will likely be a low-scoring.
MLB Prediction: Chicago 3
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