MLB Betting Free Pick - Marlins (25-27) at Cubs (24-24)
by Eric Williams
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The Chicago Cubs are struggling big time bettors, having lost seven of their last ten games including a current three-game losing streak.
Florida is 6-4 in their last ten and are riding a two-game winning streak.
Someone’s streak will continue while the other team’s ends.
Let’s take a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Free Pic:
Key Marlins Trends
The Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
The Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
The Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Key Cubs Trends
The Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
The Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
The Cubs are 20-6 in their last 26 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 10-2-2 in Marlins last 14 vs. National League Central.
The Under is 9-3-2 in Marlins last 14 games following a win.
The Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 vs. National League East.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Marlins are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
The Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Chicago.
The Over is 35-17-1 in the last 53 meetings.
For a more in-depth report on this game click Baseball Trends.
The Pitchers: Marlins starting pitcher Sergio Mitre has 31 strikeouts, 9 walks and a miniscule 1.89 ERA in eight starts covering 47.2 innings. Mitre sports an even 2-2 record.
Cubs starting pitcher Ted Lilly is 4-2 in ten starts over 64.2 innings. Lilly has 56 strikeouts, 14 walks with 3.20 ERA.
While Lilly is a fine pitcher – and has helped to cover at least two of his starts for me this season, I am going with the Marlins and their young phenom, Mitre.
While the Cubs are playing at home and will clearly have a chance with Lilly on the mound, I think the Marlins will touch up the Cubs’ bullpen once Lilly departs the game.
MLB Free Picks: Chicago 3
08:05 PM EST
Florida Marlins Sergio Mitre - R +135
Chicago Cubs -150 Ted Lilly - L
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