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The Diamondbacks’ one-run victory over the Phillies last night may have cost me, but I am unperturbed in making this selection tonight, though I will once again admit that this game could come down to the final at-bat or two for either team.
The Diamondbacks are on fire right now, having won five straight and eight of their last ten, but the Phillies aren’t far behind, having won six of their last ten.
Both teams will start competent, but not overpowering pitchers, making this pick a near toss-up.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB free Pick:
Key Diamondback Trends
The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win.
The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 games on Grass.
Key Phillies Trends
The Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Phillies are 14-3 in their last 17 games following a loss.
The Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
The Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 Tuesday games.
The Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Philadelphia.
For a more in-depth report on this game click Baseball Trends.
The Pitchers: Diamondbacks starting pitcher Micah Owings is 3-1 in eight starts covering 41.2 innings. Owings has struck out 31 batters, walked 17 and sports a 4.10 ERA.
Phillies starting pitcher Jon Lieber is 2-2 in nine starts with 28 strikeouts and 16 walks over 47.0 innings. Lieber has an ERA of 3.45.
MLB Betting Free Pick: After last night’s loss, I’m going back with the Phillies tonight behind Lieber.
While Leiber will never confuse anyone with Roger Clemens, he is a wily veteran who knows how to pitch in any situation.
Ryan Howard is finding his power stroke right now and that could be the difference tonight.
Prediction: Phillies 6 Diamondbacks 4
07:05 PM EST
Micah Owings - R +145
John Lieber - R -165
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