MLB Playoff Betting - ALCS Game 4: Yankees vs. Angels

ALCS Game 4 – Angels Look To Even Series, Tame Sabathia

The Los Angeles Angels (100-67 SU, 94-72 RL, 84-76-6 O/U) picked up a huge win on Monday night and will now look to even their ALCS showdown against the New York Yankees (108-59 SU, 91-76 RL, 77-82-8 O/U) at two games apiece when the two teams square off at Angel Stadium tonight at 8 PM ET.

However, the Angels will have their hands full when they take the field for Game 4 as they will face dominating Yankees left-hander CC Sabathia, the winner in Game 1 of this series.

Los Angeles cashed in for BetUS MLB sports betting members as +160 home underdogs on Monday afternoon as Jeff Mathis hit a game-winning two-out double in the 11th inning to lift the Halos to a thrilling 4-3 win.

Vladimir Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run while Alex Rodriguez and Derek Jeter each hit solo home runs in the loss.

Sabathia (19-8 3.37 ERA) will take the mound on three days rest after limiting the Angels to one run in eight dominating innings in Game 1, allowing just four hits along the way while the Angels will counter with left-hander Scott Kazmir (10-9, 4.89 ERA).

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends and MLB Odds, followed by my in-depth analysis and expert MLB Free Picks.

• Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 playoff road games.
• Yankees are 6-1 in Sabathia’s last 7 road starts.
• Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathia’s last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
• Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
• Angels are 22-6 in their last 28 games as a home underdog.
• Angels are 5-1 in Kazmir’s last 6 starts.
• Yankees are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
• Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
• Over is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Los Angeles.
• Yankees are 8-20 in the last 28 meetings in Los Angeles.
  
  

MLB Odds

• New York Yankees -1½ +120
• CC Sabathia –L -130
• Los Angeles Angels +1½ -140
• Scott Kazmir –L +110
• Over 8 -115
• Under 8 -105
  
  

The Starters: CC Sabathia has gone 2-1 with a 3.63 ERA over his last three starts while Scott Kazmir has gone 1-1 over his last three starts with a 4.24 ERA.

Analysis: I’ll keep this pick short and sweet by simply saying that I fully expect the Los Angeles Angels to find some sort of way to win this matchup despite going up against a gifted hurler in Sabathia as Yankees’ manager Joe Girardi foolishly brings the big southpaw back after just three days of rest.

While the Yankees have gone a stellar 6-1 in Sabathia’s last seven road starts, New York will have to overcome their dismal 1-6 mark in their last seven road playoff games and dismal 8-20 SU mark in their last 28 meetings against the Halos in Los Angeles.

I think Sabathia will tire at some point earlier than normal because he is pitching on short rest and will likely groove a few pitches down the middle of the plate with the Angels jumping all over those pitches with their newfound confidence after winning Game 4.

Los Angeles has gone a bankroll-boosting 6-1 in their last seven home games, a red-hot 22-6 in their last 28 games as a home underdog, not to mention, a fantastic 5-1 in Scott Kazmir’s last six starts.