The Valparaiso Crusaders, (22-13 SU, 15-14-2 ATS, 18-13 O/U), and Houston Cougars,on (23-9 SU, 14-13 ATS, 17-10 O/U), will meet tonight in an unlikely pairing of two first round upset winners after fourth-seeded Valparaiso shocked No. 1 seed Nevada on Tuesday in a game that featured 18 lead changes, winning 80-79 after junior center Marcus Cousin hit one free throw with 26.5 seconds remaining to break a 79-79 tie.
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After its first postseason victory in 10 years, Valparaiso, one of the hottest teams in the country, will look to advance to the semifinal round of the inaugural College Basketball Invitational, (CBI).
Valparaiso entered the CBI as one of the tournament’s hottest teams prior to their 78-73 Horizon League Championship semifinal loss to Cleveland State on March 8.
The Crusaders are averaging 69.9 points per game on 44.7 percent shooting while allowing 68.1 points per contest on 43.5 percent shooting.
The Cougarsare averaging 78.8 points per contest on 41.0 percent shooting while allowing 70.3 points per contest on 43.1 percent shooting.
Valparaiso has covered the in six of their last ten while Houston has gone 5-5 against the spread in their last ten.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my analysis and NCAAB Betting Free Picks.
The Crusaders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
The Crusaders are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Crusaders are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
The Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
The Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
The Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
The Over is 4-0 in Crusaders last 4 games following a S.U. win.
The Over is 4-1 in Crusaders last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
The Over is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 games following a S.U. win.
The Over is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 non-conference games.
Analysis: While the high-scoring Cougars should be able to pull out a victory at home tonight, I say take the underdog Crusaders to cover the spread while going down swinging.
NCAAB Free Picks: Valparaiso +9 Points/Over 148 Total Points
08:00 PM EST
Valparaiso +9 -110
Houston U -9 -110
Over 148 -110
Under 148 -110
CBI Tournament - Second Round
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