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ACC Showdown - Wake Forest at NC State

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The NCAA college basketball bettors when they battle at Joel Coliseum tonight.

The Wolfpack bounced back from a loss in their previous outing to beat the Virginia Cavaliers 72-67 on Saturday though they failed to cover the spread as 7.5-point home favorites.

The final score played just UNDER the game's posted total of 143 points as senior shooting guard Courtney Fells went a perfect 4-for-4 at the free throw line in the final 7.2 seconds and four Wolfpack players reached double figures in scoring.

Wake Forest is coming off a 101-91 loss to Duke on Sunday where they failed to cover the spread as an 8-point road underdog while the combined score went Over the posted over/under total of 152 points.

Lightning-quick sophomore point guard Jeff Teague led the Demon Deacons with 28 points while sophomore forward James Johnson added 26 points and 10 rebounds in the loss.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NCAAB Free Pick.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest

North Carolina State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

North Carolina State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games

Wake Forest is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 7 games when playing at home against North Carolina State

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games at home

NCAAB Odds

NC State +12 -110

Wake Forest -12 -110

Analysis: While I like Wake Forest to win this contest at home, I think the 12-point spread is a bit much, particularly seeing as how the Wolfpack beat the Demon Deacons 82-76 on Feb. 11 and have been playing pretty darned good basketball recently, even in their losses.

Take the Wolfpack and the points to cover the spread in a losing effort against the perplexing Demon Deacons.

NCAAB Free Picks: NC State +12 Points