in NCAA F Betting Trends

LAST POINTSPREAD RESULT: SEC title game in Atlanta on December 1.

ABOUT WISCONSIN:

The Good News -- The Badgers averaged 201 rushing yards a game. And Lance Smith (406 yards), the backup tailback who has had legal problems, was allowed to travel for this game. Tyler Donovan was not spectacular but solid, with 18 TD passes and ten interceptions. His main target was Travis Beckum (73 receptions), one of the best tight ends in the country.

The Bad News -- PJ Hill, who should have been a Heisman candidate, was hampered by injuries almost the entire season, and was limited to 1104 yards. Wisconsin will be missing wide receiver Luke Swan, cornerback Allen Langford and defensive tackle Jason Chapman, out with injuries. And this team did not cover a pointspread away from home this season.

ABOUT TENNESSEE:

The Good News -- Erik Ainge is clearly one of the country's better quarterbacks, throwing for 29 touchdowns and 3123 yards. His offensive line allowed just four sacks, far and away the best in the nation. Aaron Foster was a pleasant surprise at running back, with 1162 yards and 14 TD's. The Vols had a +8 turnover margin.

The Bad News -- Top wide receiver Lucas Taylor, who caught 73 passes for 1000 yards, is academically ineligible for this game. Also missing for that reason are defensive tackle Demonte Bolden and linebacker Rico McCoy. Earlier in the season, LaMarcus Coker, the team's most talented RB, was dismissed from the team for disciplinary reasons. Offensive coordinator David Cutcliffe is leaving after this game to take over the head coaching job at Duke.

Here are some NCAA football betting TRENDS relative to this matchup:

* WISC is 4-1 ATS in its last five bowls

* WISC is 3-6 ATS in its last nine games

* WISC is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games

* WISC is 0-5 ATS in its last five games away from home

* WISC has played three straight games OVER the total

* TENN is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games

* TENN is 8-2 SU in its last ten games

* TENN has played five of its last six games UNDER the total

THE BOTTOM LINE: Wisconsin has depth in the backfield, and gets a boost because PJ Hill is rested and should be as healthy as he's been in some time. But Tennessee takes a major edge into this game at the QB position. No one has been able to get to Erik Ainge (four sacks), who has proven to have an accurate arm. Wisconsin will be no different. Cutcliffe, though on his way to another program, is as crafty as they come from the coordinator's booth. Tennessee went through a rough patch early in the season where it was thumped by California and Florida. But they came on strong later and was really just a couple of bad breaks away from capturing the SEC title. This is not your father's Wisconsin team, where they pounded opponents into submission on each side of the interior line. These Badgers allowed 4.3 yards a carry, which provides an opening for the rejuvenated Volunteer running game. Another important factor is that Tennessee has gone just a month since playing, compared to six weeks for Wisconsin - and by the way, the Big Ten is addressing that problem by constructing the schedule to end later.

We'll lay the points with TENNESSEE, the two-point favorite in the BetUS college football betting odds.

WHAT: Outback Bowl

WHO: Tennessee Volunteers (9-4 SU, 7-4-2 ATS)

WHEN & WHERE: January 1, 11 AM ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa (grass)

BETUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING LINE: TENNESSEE -2, Total: 58

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(Charles Jay of TotalActionExtra.com loves to help people pick winners. He is a regular contributor to the BetUS.com Locker Room)