College Football Betting - Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma

Saturday, November 14 - 7 PM ET

BetUS NCAA College Football Betting Odds: OKLAHOMA -20.5, Total 56.5

These teams have the same won-lost record, irrespective of the college football betting odds, yet Oklahoma is almost a three-touchdown favorite in this game. Of course, there is some rationale behind the Sooners being a favorite in the game, due to past accomplishment, personnel and the caliber of their victories. That last consideration doesn't give them a huge edge, because Oklahoma has been downright disappointing against a couple of teams it should have beaten, and A&M shined so brightly in its upset win over Texas Tech.

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

• A&M has lost four of its last six games SU
• A&M has played four of its last five games OVER the total
• A&M has covered one of its last five road games
• A&M has lost four of its last five road games SU
• A&M has played nine of its last ten road games OVER the total
• OKLA is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games
• OKLA has won 17 of its last 23 games SU
• OKLA has played six of its last seven games UNDER the total
• OKLA has won 18 of its last 22 home games SU

Also....

• OKLA has won the last six meetings SU
• Six of the last seven meetings have gone OVER the total
• OKLA has covered four of the last five meetings as the home team
• OKLA has won the last five meetings SU as the home team
  

Landry Jones didn't seem to have the running game working for him last week against Nebraska, so he took to the air - a lot. In fact, he threw 58 passes, but they only produced 4.2 yards an attempt and a grand total of three points. Throwing five interceptions was obviously deadly for the Sooners. When you consider that at this time last season, Oklahoma was on a run of 60-point games, where they destroyed the college football betting odds, there certainly is a great deal of difference a year makes.

Sam Bradford is out, and that is too bad. Oklahoma also hasn't had the same kind of offensive line they had last year. Oklahoma quarterback shave only been sacked ten times, but the rushing game, with two players who gained over a thousand yards last year in Chris Brown and DeMarco Murray, should not be ranked 69th in the country. That’s the kind of thing that leads to underachievement in the college football betting numbers, and Oklahoma is 2-5-1 ATS on the season.

Mike Sherman's Aggies should be able to beat Baylor at home next week, and that would be enough to qualify this team for a bowl game. That's progress for this program that has been restructured since the former Green Bay Packers coach took over. They think this particular game might be winnable, however, as they have the strong-armed quarterback in Jerrod Johnson who has executed Sherman's pro-style attack well. Johnson, a 60% passer, has thrown 21 TD passes and tossed just four interceptions - one less than Jones did in four quarters last week.

It is important to acknowledge that Texas A&M is a very young team, with over half the starters freshmen or sophomores, and they are going to make mistakes. The defense is clearly a work in progress, and has allowed 30 points or more on six occasions. But there is a bitter memory of that 66-28 beating Oklahoma dished out last season, and that will keep Johnson and the Aggies firing to the end. Remember, the Sooners don't have the kind of firepower they had last season.

We're going to take the points with Texas A&M, the 20.5-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA online football betting odds.

JAY'S PLAY: TEXAS A&M +20.5 **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)