College Football Sports Betting
Boston College Eagles (5-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS)
Saturday, October 24 - 3:30 PM ET
BetUS NCAA Football Betting Odds: NOTRE DAME -7.5, Total 55.5
Here are some of the NCAAF betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
- BC has covered four of its last six games
- BC has won five of its last seven games SU
- BC has played four of its last five games OVER the total
- BC has covered one of its last five road games
- BC has lost four of its last five road games SU
- ND has covered one of its last five games
- ND has won five of its last seven games SU
- ND has played four of its last five games OVER the total
- ND has covered two of its last six home games
- ND has won eight of its last 11 home games SU
- ND has played seven of its last nine home games OVER the total
- BC has won the last six meetings SU
- Four of the last six meetings have gone UNDER the total
- BC has won four of the last five meetings SU as the road team
Boston College Eagles has played only two road games this season. In those games they have gained a total of 218 yards, and a miniscule 2.1 yards per play. At the same time, they gave up 694 yards to opponents in those games, where they were behind by a combined 50-0 at the half, which gave them no chance for a college football betting win.
Those games were played against Clemson and Virginia Tech, and those schools had quick, aggressive defenses with a lot of speed. We can't say that Notre Dame is at that level right now. The Irish have given up an average of 419 yards a game, and 30 points or more in four of their last five games (to Michigan, Michigan State, Washington and USC). So there should be some room for the Eagles to move.
Certainly if you're looking at this from a football betting perspective, you would have to say that the Irish has the more explosive offense. Jimmy Clausen (65%, 14 TD's, 2 INT's) is ranked second nationally in passing efficiency. He's got Golden Tate, who is one of the very best receivers the college game has to offer (719 yards).
Still, Dave Shinskie (9 TD's, 4 INT's), who has been around, having played minor league baseball before his football journey at BC, shouldn't be intimidated by the surroundings, and he is going to get some help from running back Montel Harris, who has rushed for 179 yards against Florida State earlier, and ripped North Carolina State for 264 yards last week.
Sure, Boston College has only 59 pass completions in the last five games, while Notre Dame Fighting Irish has 117, but because of Harris, the Eagles have a lot better shot at getting a running game established. Remember that Boston College stiffens up against the run (3.2 ypc allowed) and that could make the Irish one-dimensional.
Boston College has Notre Dame's number too, having won six straight times against the Fighting Irish. Notre Dame won't get shut out like it did last year, and may get a little revenge, but this will be a close one, so we take the points with Boston College, the 7.5-point underdog in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.
JAY'S PLAY: BOSTON COLLEGE +7.5 ***
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)