Saturday, October 24 - 7 PM ET
NCAA Football Sportsbook Odds: SOUTH CAROLINA -12.5
Vanderbilt's offense has really suffered from a lack of efficiency. The Commodores have gained just 5.1 yards per pass, and they score a point for every 18.8 yards gained. Sophomore Larry Smith has been just 32 for 77 for 334 yards and four interceptions the last three weeks.
Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
- VAN has covered one of its last five games
- VAN has lost five of its last six games SU
- VAN has played five of its last six games UNDER the total
- VAN has covered seven of its last ten road games
- VAN has lost five of its last seven road games SU
- VAN has played six of its last eight road games UNDER the total
- SC has won four of its last five games SU
- SC has won six of its last seven home games SU
- VAN is 4-2-1 ATS in the last seven meetings
- SC has won seven of the last nine meetings SU
- SC has won five of the last seven meetings SU as the home team
They managed less than 300 yards as a team last week against Georgia, and against every one of their Division I opponents aside from defenseless Rice, they have scored 13 points or less (overall, they are at 13 ppg against major college opposition), which doesn’t make them big successes in the NCAA football sportsbook.
You certainly have to respect the Vandy secondary, which has held opponents to just 52% completions and five yards an attempt. Both of those figures are among the lowest in the country, and this is what South Carolina's Stephen Garcia (1482 yards, nine TD's) will be throwing into. Garcia faced Alabama's rigid stop unit last week, and went only 20 for 46 as his team produced just six points in a loss in the NCAA football sportsbook. He threw an interception that was returned for a touchdown right away. He is limping around on a bad right knee. And he is not exactly getting the vote of confidence from coach Steve Spurrier.
"We've got a lot of coaching to do with Stephen if we're going to get him to the level of being a really top-level quarterback." says Spurrier.
Moe Brown, the team's leading receiver, will not be in action, as he suffered a concussion in the game with 'Bama, but I don't know this is too big a deal, since the 'Cocks have three other pass catchers who have registered 100-yard games.
Vandy has had the Gamecocks' number the last couple of years, winning in 2007 at a time when South Carolina was the sixth-ranked team in the country, then beating them on the way to one of the Commodores' best seasons in years in 2008. So it's a revenge situation, for sure. It's also a big number to lay with a team that has not looked like something you would see from Spurrier. Certainly, though, Garcia has much more upside as a passer than counterpart Smith, and the Gamecocks are probably a little more stingy on the defensive side.
Vanderbilt can't score, and that's a problem, the kind that has seen them lose every conference game by double digits. We'll go ahead and lay the points with Spurrier's South Carolina Gamecocks, the 12.5-point favorites in the BetUS NCAA football sportsbook odds.
JAY'S PLAY: SOUTH CAROLINA -12.5 **
(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)