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NCAA Football Week 4 Betting - Arizona State Sun Devils at Georgia Bulldogs

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Arizona State Sun Devils (2-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Georgia Bulldogs (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Saturday, September 26 - 7 PM ET

NCAA College Football Sports Betting

NCAAF Betting Odds: GEORGIA -11.5, Total 53.5

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

  • ASU has won five of its last six games SU
  • ASU has covered two of its last eight road games
  • ASU has lost four of its last five road games SU
  • ASU has played nine of its last 11 road games UNDER the total
  • GA has covered two of its last eight games
  • GA has won 19 of its last 23 games SU
  • GA has played six of its last nine games OVER the total
  • GA is 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven home games
  • GA has won 12 of its last 15 home games SU

It's hard to tell what we're looking at with this Arizona State team, except that it has played against lesser lights Idaho State and Louisiana-Monroe (of the Sun Belt) in the first two contests, which is kind of like having an exhibition season. Maybe it makes sense to talk about what the Sun Devils returned to the fold, since this is their first "real" action of the season. Seven starters on offense. Six starters on defense. A linebacking corps that could possibly be rated among the best in the country. One of the best defensive ends anywhere in Dexter Davis, who was first-team All-Pac-10 last year. A genuine weapon in kicker Thomas Weber.

What they did NOT return was iron man quarterback Rudy Carpenter, who left a void in the program that has to be filled with senior Danny Sullivan, who in those rare opportunities when he's gotten playing time has not really delivered. We really wonder how he is going to handle the hostile conditions in what is his first road start.

Georgia may have reloaded a little better than expected after the departure of Matthew Stafford and Knowshon Moreno. Joe Cox, like Sullivan a senior, is hitting 62.5% with eight touchdowns and 9.2 yards an attempt, and we don't have to put a disclaimer next to his name because the Bulldogs have faced Oklahoma State, Arkansas and South Carolina, so he is battle-tested in competitive games, and two of those have been on the road.

Sure, Arizona State is ranked #1 in the country in total defense and turnover margin, but considering the competition, what does it mean? Sure, ASU has had this game circled since last year's 27-10 defeat (in which it was outgained 461-212) but this program has not been good at pulling off upsets when moving up in class. Sure, there has been some shuffling to the offensive line's benefit, but ASU allowed Carpenter (for the most part) to get sacked 34 times last year, which wasn't good.

Sure, Georgia’s secondary may be a bit vulnerable, and Sullivan is a fifth-year senior, but he is STILL an unproven commodity. In two blowout wins, he failed to blow anyone away with his numbers.

I'm not sure a middle-of-the-road Pac-10 tram goes "Between the hedges" and makes significant noise. We're moving with Georgia, the 11.5-point favorite in the BetUS NCAA college football betting odds.

JAY'S PLAY: GEORGIA -11.5 ***

(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)