NCAAF Week 3 Odds - Hawaii Warriors (+7) vs. UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (-7)

The Hawaii Warriors (2-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U) will be looking to keep their unblemished record intact while the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (1-1 SU, 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U) will try to bounce back from a home loss in their contest when the two rivals battle at Sam Boyd Stadium at 11 PM ET.

Hawaii scored a whopping 35 first half points in beating Washington State 38-20 on the road at Martin Stadium in Week 2, covering their NCAAF betting odds as a 1.5-point road favorites while the 58 combined points cashed in over the 55-point O/U total.

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (-7)

O/U (56)

Saturday, September 19 - 11:00 PM ET

Senior quarterback Greg Alexander completed 25 of 35 passes for 441 yards and three touchdowns while running backs Alex Green and Leon Wright-Jackson added touchdown runs and Greg Salas caught seven passes for 194 yards and one touchdown in the win.

UNLV lost to Oregon State 23-21 in Week 2, but covered the NCAA college football betting line as 7-point home underdog while the game’s 44 total points played Under the 54-point O/U total.

Junior quarterback Omar Clayton completed 18 of 26 passes for 170 yards with one TD and one interception while sophomore quarterback Mike Clausen completed 6 of 9 passes for 58 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my in-depth analysis and NCAAF Free Pick.

• Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games
• Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. MWC.
• Runnin' Rebels are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Runnin' Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Runnin' Rebels are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
• Runnin' Rebels are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.
• Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games overall.
• Over is 9-2 in Runnin' Rebels last 11 games as a home favorite.
• Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
  
  

NCAAF Odds

• Hawaii +7 -110
• UNLV -7 -110
• Over 56 -110
• Under 56 -110
  
  

Analysis: Maybe it’s me, but I’m genuinely surprised that UNLV is favored in this contest against the high-scoring Hawaii Warriors, particularly after losing at home last week.

While the favorite has gone a spotless 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings, I say throw those trends away and concentrate on some more recent wagering stats as these two teams haven’t met since 2007.

The high-powered Warriors looked phenomenal in putting up 38 points on the road last week and I think they are not only going to cover the spread in this game, but win it outright.

The Warriors have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog and an identical 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.

While the Runnin' Rebels have gone an encouraging 5-1 ATS against a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, college football betting enthusiasts should also know that UNLV has gone a dismal 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite and just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.