If we could circle one key to beating the college football betting odds on Monday night's BCS Championship Game, it would be the Auburn Tigers stopping the ground game of the Oregon Ducks.
If Oregon has any chance to win this game, its ground attack is going to have to account for at least 200 yards. If Auburn can stuff the Quack Attack up at the line of scrimmage, it could be a night to remember for the Tigers.
Oregon Ducks @ Auburn Tigers
Game Date/Time: Monday, January 10th, 8:30 ET
Game Location: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
TV/Radio Broadcast: ESPN, ESPN3.com, ESPN Mobile TV, ESPN 3D, Sirius
NCAA Football Odds
Oregon Ducks (+2) -110
Auburn Tigers (-2) -110
When Head Coach Chip Kelly really gets his offense in a groove, it is possible for it to run off 90 snaps in a game. The team averaged over 78 per game this year, something that was really unheard of before this point in NCAA football.
The first name that comes to mind for the Quack Attack is LaMichael James, and for good reason. He was the Heisman Trophy runner up this year, and had he played in a 13 game schedule like Cameron Newton and the Tigers did, he would have had pretty close to 2,000 yards on the ground already heading into the National Championship game.
James is a monster out there on the field, and he was hard pressed to be stopped all season long. However, what we have to remember is that the Pac-10 didn't always provide the stoutest front sevens to try to stop him and Kenjon Barner in the backfield. The college football odds were always stacked against the defenses.
As a result, Oregon had the No. 2 rushing attack in the country at 309.9 yards per game this year, and it has put the U of O within striking distance of having the highest scoring average in the history of the college football odds.
Still, we have to remember that the Tigers shut down opposing ground games all season long this year, and they did so in the SEC, where they weren't favored all the time on the college football odds like the Ducks were in the Pac-10.
Auburn kept the potent 1-2 punch of Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson down to just 60 total yards in the Iron Bowl, a game that many expected the perfect Tigers to lose. It was really the crowning game in a season in which they allowed just 104.0 yards per game against rushing attacks, good enough to rank No. 7 in the nation.
Oregon will get its yards, but relatively speaking, the Tigers will win in the trenches to help them beat the college football betting odds on Monday night.
My BCS National Championship Game Matchup Edge: Auburn's Rush Defense
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