Super Bowl Odds - Breaking Down the Betting Trends
by Mike Rose
Keeping track of trends and Super Bowl odds in the gambling world is always of utmost importance, but sometimes, the trends are a bit outrageous. BetUS Sportsbook has dug up some of the best - and most bizarre - Super Bowl betting trends that you should take into consideration before dialing up wagers on the biggest game of the season.
1: The Dog Days of Winter : We'll start with one of the most absurd stats that we could possibly find. On Tuesday, Punxsutawney Phil determined that we were set to have six more weeks of winter when he saw his shadow. This will mark three straight years in which winter has been extended. The first two? Both covers for the NFC and for the underdog in the Super Bowl. The one year spring came early was in 2007. That was the year that Indianapolis knocked off Chicago in Super Bowl XLI. From 2001-2006, the groundhog predicted six more weeks of winter weather as well. In those six years, underdogs went 5-1 ATS in the Super Bowl.
2: Two for the Money : Over the course the 2009-10 NFL season, the Colts amassed a very impressive 12-5-1 ATS mark (including the playoffs). Of those 18 games, QB Peyton Manning threw for multiple touchdown passes 11 times. In those 11 games, Indy went 11-0 SU and 10-0-1 ATS. In fact, if you include the '08 season, the Colts are 14-0 SU and 13-0-1 ATS in games in which Manning tosses at least two scores.
3: 300 for the Show : QB Drew Brees has an impressive mark of his own to look out for in Super Bowl betting action. The Saints went a perfect 7-0 SU in games which Brees threw for at least 300 yards passing. New Orleans went 4-3 ATS in those seven games. If the Purdue product reaches that plateau once again this Sunday, he should be leading his team to victory in the biggest game in franchise history.
4: All 'Over' the Best Teams : Talk about a long term trend of some value! The Saints have gone a whopping 49-23-2 for 'over' bettors in their L/74 games against teams with a winning record. In and amongst those 74 games included a pair of wild Colts victories (41-10 in 2007 and 55-21 in 2003). Even though only one of those games reached the 'total', one would like to think that another 41-point outburst by either team will be enough to get to this number; regardless of how tall a chore 56.5-points looks to be.
5: Run Away Victories : Any time you can find a trend that is 37-4 over 41 games, you tend to want to roll with it. The team that has rushed the ball more times in the Super Bowl has posted that very impressive 37-4 SU record (note that there were two Super Bowls in which both teams had the same number of rushes). This is great news for New Orleans, as the Saints carry the ball on 45% of their plays, while the Colts only keep the pigskin on the ground 37% of the time.
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