AFC Early Game Previews – Don’t Bet Against Dolphins, Bills!

Bills

Leave it to J.P. Losman to ruin an undefeated season. The Bills are playing host to one of the most untrustworthy teams in Raiders. The Bills are one of the steadier teams in the league, and have both Trent Edwards and Roscoe Parrish returning to the lineup this week.

The Bills give up only 184.8 passing yards against, meaning that Phillip Rivers might be able to unleash hell like he’s used to. On top of that, while San Diego has gone 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games on the road, they will likely be without Darren Sproles or Chris Chambers this weekend. Even LDT looks like he might be able to run properly with an injured toe. Nothing that is happening in San Diego right now makes me feel comfortable about their chances this weekend against a cagey Bills team.

NFL Free pick: Buffalo -1 (UNDER 44.5)

Are The Dolphins Really That Good?

The easy answer is “yes”. They’re more fun to watch, have way more talent and are actually playing decent defense. Their one glaring weakness is their secondary, which gives up 239.0 yards per game. But the rushing defense is only surrendering 89.0 yards per game, which will be stiffly tested by the Le’Ron McClain who has averaged 4.1 yards per carry.

But the Dolphins have sprung an offense in the NFL that typically only works in college. Chad Pennington, who was shipped in from New York right before the season started ,has adapted it to it thanks to his high football IQ (which is actually the only reason he’s still in the league after two shoulder surgeries). But the real engine of this offense is their willingness to take risks with Ronnie Brown at tailback. Brown has averaged 4.7 yards per carry and has seven rushing touchdowns and a passing touchdown as well.

Don’t bet on Cameron or his new-look Dolphins to shrink in the face of Joe Flacco on the road. The Ravens have struggled on the road, while Miami has stunned many thus far. Expect these Fins to bring down the birds from Baltimore.

NFL Free Pick: Miami -3 (UNDER 36.5)

Chris Johnson To Continue Rookie of the Year Campaign

Chris Johnson has been a bulldozing, pass catching tour de force this year. He’s averaging 4.5 yards per carry and has amassed 381 yards in his quest to maintain the Titans’ undefeated streak. Though Larry Johnson has re-emerged as a veritable force, the quarterback situation in KC is too much of a concern to warrant their attention in the betting circles. This is a spread you might want to tease down in our Chiefs.

NFL Free Pick: Tennessee -8.5 (35)

Bengals To Get Beat Down At Home

It says a lot when your own fans are practically paying people to give up their season tickets. The Bengals have been downright disgusting this year. Can we impose a rule that you have to score at least 8 touchdowns before you legally change your name to something idiotic? The only reason that people care about Chad Johnson these days is because he’s been a brutal fantasy option this year. T.J. Whose-Your-Mamma has been doing all the work, and the Bengals’ rushing game has been non-existent.