NFC Wildcard Pick
The Green Bay Packers rocked the Arizona Cardinals this past Sunday in Arizona. It should be noted that the Cardinals rested a lot of their starters since a victory didn’t mean anything, but Green Bay looked so good, were so dominant, that the Cardinals have to be thinking about what’s going to happen this Sunday when the two teams meet.
Green Bay beat Arizona 33 to 7. They racked up 236 passing yards and 109 rushing yards. The Cardinals rested Kurt Warner, Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin, but those guys don’t play defense. What are the Cardinals going to do this Sunday defensively to stop the Packers?
Before getting into that, let’s take a look at the NFL playoff lines for this game.
Green Bay Packers +2 ½ -110 +110 O 47 -110
Arizona Cardinals -2 ½ -110 -130 U 47 -110
Here are a few nfl online betting trends for this game.
- The Green Bay Packers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- The Green Bay Packers are 4 and 1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of ½ to 3 points.
- The Arizona Cardinals are 8 and 2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of ½ to 3 points.
- The Arizona Cardinals are 7 and 2 ATS versus a team with a winning record.
Okay, let’s get to how the offenses and defenses matchup.
Packers’ Offense vs. Cardinals’ Defense
The Green Bay Packers offense is ranked 6th in the league and is terrifically balanced. QB Aaron Rodgers has been superb this season, throwing for 4400 yards, 30 touchdowns and only 7 interceptions. RB Ryan Grant has rushed for over 1200 yards, seemingly under the radar. The Packers average 28.8 points per game which is third in the league.
Arizona has little chance of stopping Green Bay from scoring. The Cardinals’ 20th ranked defense gives up 346.8 yards per game on average. They give up over 20 points per game and allowed Green Bay to go for 33 last Sunday. This game has the making of an all out shootout.
The Cardinals best hope of containing the Packers is to get to Aaron Rodgers in this game, but that won’t be easy either. Although the Packers have given up 50 sacks this season, most of those occurred in the first 8 games. In the last 8 games of the season, the offensive line has been a totally different unit when it comes to protecting Rodgers.
Packers’ Defense vs. Cardinals’ Offense
The Packers’ 2nd ranked defense does something better than any other team in the league, that would be stopping the run. Green Bay allows only 83.3 points per game on the ground.
That’s a phenomenal stat and one that should give Green Bay hope, but the Packers are prone to giving up a lot, I mean a lot, of yardage in the passing game. Against weak quarterbacks Green Bay can shut down the passing game, but against good quarterbacks the Packers get killed.
They allowed Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger to throw for 503 yards and 3 touchdowns in a game they should have won. They allowed Brett Favre from Minnesota to throw for 271 yards and 3 touchdowns and 244 yards and 4 touchdowns in two meetings this season. Even Alex Smith of San Francisco tossed the ball for 227 yards and 3 touchdowns. All four of those games went over because the Packers couldn’t stop the pass.
What is Kurt Warner likely to do against he Packers’ overrated defense? Rock them like there’s no tomorrow. Warner is a future hall of famer with two All-Pro wide receivers at his disposal. The Cardinals’ average 251.3 yards per game through the air. Expect Warner to go for 350 to 400 yards against the Packers pass defense this Sunday. ‘Zona is at home in this one and will be fresh, look for Warner to toss at least 3 touchdowns in this game.
The Best NFL Bet Is…
On over 47. Oh, yes, 47 is a big number in an NFL playoff game but Green Bay has no shot of stopping the Cardinals from scoring and the Cardinals have no shot of stopping Green Bay from scoring.
Green Bay’s D has shut down only one good quarterback this season and that was Tony Romo. They have no shot at stopping a healthy Kurt Warner and wide receivers Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin.
This game should go over by a mile.