Upset Special! The Rams Keep Rolling

Considering how many playoff games the Seattle Seahawks have played in the last ten years versus how many the LA/St. Louis Rams have played, you would expect their regular season record to reflect this imbalance. But no team seems to have Seattle's number like the Rams. In their past ten games, the teams are even with five wins each. But the Seahawks haven't won a road game in LA/St. Louis since 2013. Could this finally be the year they snap that streak? Not with this offense. I'm riding with the Los Angeles Rams. But, there's a catch. Since this is the upset special and we're here looking for plus-money value, we're going to please the Rams & the under.

Seattle's offence has been atrocious all season, save for a weird game last Sunday against the pitiful Colts. Russell Wilson has been under siege all year behind a porous offensive line. Their numbers actually don't look terrible, but everything is skewed from their blowout game against the Colts. Last time these two teams met in Los Angeles, the game finished 9-3 and there wasn't a single touchdown. When these two teams meet, it's the defenses that come to play. Both squads both some of the nastiest, most talented defensive players in the game today: Kam Chancellor, Earl Thomas, Bobby Wagner, Aaron Donald…the list goes on.

The Rams remind me of the Bills. A team that you never want to bet on when they're on the road, but that you should never bet against when they're at home. It's simply too sketchy. After last week though, maybe you should be betting on the Rams and Bills every week.

Doug Baldwin has been an absolute fantasy dud for me all year. Last year my first round pick Todd Gurley was my fantasy bust. And guess who I'm going up against this week. Expect my winless fantasy team to take another beating in this one. Indeed, the main reason why I love this pleaser mostly revolves around one player: Gurley. The Rams are going to want to control and kill the clock in this one. I'm expecting Gurley to keep pounding the rock at least 35-40 times, but Seattle's defense to keep him somewhat in check. I'm expecting long drives that end in field goals. In the end, I'm confident in this pleaser because I'm expecting the Seahawks to put up ten points or less and the Rams to put up between seventeen and twenty-one

I wouldn't be surprised if Seattle makes another deep run this postseason. I'm guessing they'll handily win their division by not losing a game at home and taking at least 3-4 games on the road. You never want to go up against that 12th Man in Seattle in January. Don't be surprised if you see the Seahawks take down the rest of the NFC. But this is a horrible spot for Seattle and they always seem to get off to a slow start. Rams win by a touchdown or more in a game that goes significantly under.