Favre Prop Watch - Bet on Everything Brett

I would like to take a crack at all these new Brett Favre props that have been presented by the folks at BetUS:

Brett Favre Total TD passes:

• Over 21½ 5/6
• Under 21½ 5/6

Favre has averaged 22 touchdown passes over the last four years. He's also thrown almost as many interceptions over that time (84). In none of those seasons has he had the kind of running game to work with that he has in Minnesota. In fact, he has never worked with a running back quite like Adrian Peterson. It can be reasonably argued that Thomas Jones had the best statistical year of his career, which included 13 touchdowns, with Favre at the helm (with the Jets, of course). The Minnesota running game will cut into his touchdown numbers, and the arm ain't what it used to be.

UNDER 21.5 (-120)

Brett Favre Total INT's:

• Over 19 5/6
• Under 19 5/6

Favre is the "gunslinger," and that has never changed. Whether he will become more conservative in Minnesota is a good question, but it can be argued that Favre is always going to have a lot of attempts, and has been quite erratic even when he was playing in his prime. In fact, one year where he had 31 TD passes he also had 23 interceptions. That was back in 1998. As mentioned, the last four years, he has had 84 pickoffs, which averages out to 21 per year. Sure, he'll be playing in more of a West Coast set than he had last year, and has a team that can also advance the ball on the ground, but I would never underestimate Favre's ability to throw a game away.

OVER 19 (-120)

Will Brett Favre retire after this season?

• Yes 1/2
• No 2/3

This is a two-way prop? In other words, the favorite (that he will retire) is -200, while the "underdog" (that he won't) is -150? I'd say "yes" because no off-season would be complete these days without a Brett Favre retirement, although I should pass on this one on the general principle of no value being offered.

Will Brett Favre announce a comeback for 2010?

• Yes 5/6
• No 5/6

Favre has signed a two-year deal with the Vikings, just like he signed a two-year deal with the Jets. I have a feeling he will stick with this one, because I liked this team's chances to get to the playoffs even before he came aboard. However, like the proposition above, we might need a clarification on this one: does it mean he has to announce a retirement first before announcing a "comeback"? Or if he simply comes back to play again, is that enough of a "comeback"? With all the unnecessary drama, people tend to forget that Favre has never really launched a "comeback" in the traditional sense; in fact, his string of consecutive seasons has been unbroken since 1991, and his string of consecutive starts is at 269. In fact, if he starts the first two games of the 2009 season, he will break Jim Marshall's NFL record for consecutive games played, which right now stands at 270.

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Will Brett Favre make the Pro-Bowl?

• Yes 5/7
• No 1/1

I should never disqualify the "yes" vote here, because he was indeed voted into the Pro Bowl over more deserving players like Philip Rivers last year, despite his 22 interceptions. To be fair, he threw seven in the last three weeks, and off-hand I think the Pro Bowl voting started before he completely tossed away the Jets' playoff hopes. In looking at the NFC, he's got people to contend with, such as Kurt Warner, Tony Romo, Donovan McNabb, Eli Manning, Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, Matt Hasselbeck and the new kid on the block, Jay Cutler. So I will offer a rather strong "no" here.