ATP London Betting Preview – Nadal vs. Berdych

London, England – Rafael Nadal is on the verge of a spot in the Barclay’s ATP World Tour Finals semi-final round. Standing in his way is a legitimate threat in Tomas Berdych and with everything still to play for in this group, the two semi spots yet to be decided, this clash is a vital win for both Nadal and Berdych if they hope to continue their campaigns in London.

Nadal goes into this clash with the upper hand having won both his preceding encounters against Roddick and Djokovic. Still, he’s not ensured a spot in the final four, as several potential scenarios could arise on Friday and that would affect the makeup of the standings in this group.

Nadal does have an element of control over his own destiny if he beats Berdych in straight sets or three sets. A win would complete a three-match winning streak in round-robin play by the Spaniard and move him to the top of the group’s standings.

Should Berdych defeat Nadal however, then Berdych would drastically improve his chances, and in turn reduce Nadal’s chances, of advancing. Which advances would hinge on the outcome of the Djokovic vs. Roddick, slated to take centre court later that day.  

BetUS Sportsbook is taking action on this attention-worthy clash offering a whole spate of tennis betting odds and lines.

Tennis Betting Line:

Rafael Nadal  -4½  -110   -600   21  O -135   U -105  

Tomas Berdych  +4½  -130   +350    21  O -135   U -105

Match Time: 09:00 AM Eastern Time (06:00 AM Pacific Time) Friday November 26, 2010

Tennis Betting Verdict: Nadal has a 2-0 record in round robin play, which includes winning four of five sets played (4-1). As things currently stand, Nadal owns top spot in the  group and is in pole position to advance into the semis. A win over Berdych would rubberstamp his invitation into the final four.

Bookmakers look upon a win by Nadal favourably. He is listed at -600 to win outright. Recommending a play on him is a solid 8-3 head-to-head record over Berdych, which includes a 2-0 H2H on 2010. Nadal beat Berdych at Indian Wells and Wimbledon without dropping a set in either match.

All things considered the prognosis is good for Nadal and most tennis betting enthusiasts are sure to pound his odds.

Berdych isn’t without a shot in this match, though he is listed at a rather large +350. Berdych has beaten Nadal three times in his career but it’s been a long time since those positive results (2005-2006). Since then, Berdych has been unable to stop his skid, losing seven straight to Nadal.

It would require something special from the Czech to beat Nadal in London. If recent form were any indication, however, that requisite” something special” making an appearance doesn’t seem to be imminent any time soon. Not saying that it can’t happen. Just saying it seems rather unlikely.

Tennis Free Picks: Nadal in straight sets