World Tour Finals Take Over London
Tennis World Tour Finals November 20 - 27

Barclay’s ATP World Tour Finals: Federer leads the field as he advances into the Semis

The season-ending Barclay’s ATP World Tour Finals are upon us: the top eight (read the best of the best) competing exclusively for the last prize on the season, and BetUS Sportsbook has been at the tournament since the start, bringing you all the tennis betting action imaginable to ensure the weeklong extravaganza is not only thrilling but also rewarding.

Already through to the knockout stages is Roger Federer, who stunned a rather ailing Rafael Nadal 6-3, 6-0 in round 2 of group action yesterday. Federer, who arrives in London in fine form after winning his home event in Basel (for a sixth time) and the subsequent Paris Masters, is installed as the runaway tournament favourite right now at -150 to win outright. And if his form in London were any indication, a three-set thriller over Tsonga and a routing of Nadal, smart money is definitely on the maestro. (Federer’s last group match is against Mardy Fish (0-2 in the competition thus far) on Thursday.

It is worth noting that Federer is priced ahead of the season’s best player and world No. 1 Novak Djokovic. Well, perhaps this is not so curious as tennis fans in the know will note: given that Djokovic hasn’t played much during the fall session due to a shoulder injury and almost lost his opening Group A match against Tomas Berdych, but for a bit of luck and several untimely unforced errors from the Czech to squander a match point in the third set and then gift wrap the tiebreak.  

Djokovic nonetheless is a short-odds-on favourite to win the title, tipped at +250 – the second best price tag after Federer. The win over Berdych wasn’t pretty but it was a win nonetheless, and it goes further towards underscoring why he is the best player this season. One can never discount the Serb from the proceedings.

Going back to Rafael Nadal, who started the season as the World No.1 before being usurped by Djokovic, he is trading at a whopping +1200 to win the title. This has to be the worst-ever price tag on the popular Spaniard in any tournament in recent memory.

The reason for this is threefold: a significant cooling of the Spaniard’s value in the markets following numerous defeats to (mainly) Djokovic in title matches, a perceptible lack of confidence shown by the Spaniard in his overall game; and finally, recent injury (shoulder) and reports of stomach ailments in London.

All things being considered, Nadal is a serious question mark for the title this year, a sentiment that is a natural extension of his woes this season. Having said that, he was the runner-up last year (l. to Federer) and he is the quintessential fighter. Keep in mind that he does have a win over Mardy Fish in round 1 of Group B action and only needs one more to improve his chances of reaching the semis.

Tipped at par with Nadal is Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at +1200 to win the tournament. Tsonga fought hard against Federer in his opening match and although he lost he quickly bounced back with a win over Mardy Fish, to put himself in the running against Nadal for the second semi final spot. It is almost fitting that Nadal and Tsonga will decide advancement on Thursday when they collide in the final round of group action.

Andy Murray is out of the tournament with a groin injury. Replacing him is Janko Tipsarevic who doesn’t quite measure up to the rest of the field – let’s face it – and by virtue of his late arrival (entering into round 2 of group A action) is tipped at a whopping +5500. 

Tomas Berdych is set to take on stand-in Tipsarevic today in what has to be a must-win match for the Czech if he hopes to capitalize on the changes that have taken place in Group A. Berdych played exceptionally well against Djokovic, outplayed him for most of the match even, save for when it counted the most, those crucial deciding match points. Berdych is tipped a large +1800 bet to win the title.

Coasting under the radar is David Ferrer, listed at a rather outrageous +2500 to win the title. Ferrer started the tournament strong, with a convincing straight set win over Andy Murray. While the Brit threw in the towel following the defeat, citing a groin injury as the reason, it shouldn’t take away from Ferrer’s chances. The Spaniard was once a runner-up at this event (in 2007 to Roger Federer). He is the quintessential dark horse that could capitalize on the changes in Group. When it comes to confidence, he’s got more reserves than Berdych does and that is worthwhile to note.

Predictions: Federer and Nadal to advance out of Group B; Djokovic and Ferrer to advance out of Group A.