Australian Open Futures – Market Outsider Ernests Gulbis

BetUS Sportsbook has rolled out future tennis sports betting.

To get the ball rolling, let us start by looking at the outsiders in the market, those players that – for a lack of a better way to put it– are no hopers (apologies for any offence for none is intended. ‘Tis the reality in men’s tennis, boasting some of the most outstanding top-ten talent to horde all coveted prizes, that the rest in the game have had to come to terms with, as you might expect).

Some of you might (foolishly) think otherwise, thereby entertaining your own predictions for the coming Grand Slam. By all means. After all, the analysis below is just my humble opinion, not an airtight scheme to beat the market.

In no particular order, the first of player tennis bettors should NOT look to pound for the first Grand Slam title of the season is Ernests Gulbis.

I know what you must be thinking: if BetUS is offering odds on him in the futures market then there has to be some perceived prospect for him at the tournament, thereby some value. No?

Not exactly so. Just because a market exists, it doesn’t negate the fact that he is a no-hoper. I mean just look at the odds. He is a long shot bet! So much so, that a risk on him paying out is a pipedream. It would take a Herculean effort to defy these odds, something he has NEVER mustered lately.

Ernests Gulbis +15000

Latvian Ernest Gulbis currently weighs in at World 90. Just about, everyone would agree he is “potentially” a top-20 talent, at the very least; these same minds would also agree he is the worst underachiever of this decade. For all the organic talent Gulbis undoubtedly possess, all he has done is to flatter to deceive.

The 21-year-old reached a career high of No. 38 in 2008 – a result many thought he would build on in the next year, thereby making it count. He didn’t.

The account he opened in 2009 and the way he closed the season suggests much of the same to come in 2010.

In 2009, he finished the season with a 20-26 mark – highlighted by a string of early exits and miserable accounts in almost every event.

At the Australian Open, he lost to Andreev in the second round 4-6, 4-6, 7-5, 6-3, 4-6. It was his best turnout in Melbourne to date.

He has ZERO single’s titles and he has never been into a final of any singles event. The only titles he owns are two doubles titles: Indianapolis with Tursunov (2009) and Houston with Schuettler (2008).

The problem with Gulbis has not been a lack of talent – it is there, plain for everyone to see. Where he falls short of the mark is desire. He simply does not come across as a player who is motivated and wants to win the big titles.

For all these parts, he is definitely a bet not worth considering for the Australian Open. Move on to the next guy.

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