UFC 94 Betting Analysis - History in the Making


Saturday evening's main event rematch between Georges ''Rush'' St. Pierre and B.J. "The Prodigy" Penn for the UFC welterweight championship, from an all-around MMA standpoint, is one of the sport's most legendary bouts in history.

When St-Pierre and Penn get busy in the Octagon at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, it will be the first time in UFC history that two champions in their respective weight classes face off. If you bet UFC online regularly, you most likely know these are two of the best fighters in the world.

In March 2006, St-Pierre and Penn went to war for the No. 1 contender’s spot in the welterweight division. The first fight between the two was an MMA masterpiece displayed by both men. In a fight that could of went either way, St-Pierre won by way of split decision and went on to win the UFC welterweight title. Penn dropped down in class after the loss to fight in the lightweight division where he won the title.

With both men holding titles, the stage is set for a rematch with history possibly in the making. There’s much more at stake in this fight than the first. UFC lightweight champion Penn looks to be the first fighter in history to hold two UFC belts at the same time when he attempts to strip St-Pierre of his welterweight championship. BetUS UFC odds are giving St-Pierre the edge to retain his title as the modest favorite priced at -170, placing decent sports betting value of +130 on Penn.

Penn is one of only two men in UFC history to have won a championship in two weight classes. The other fighter to do so was Randy Couture. The MMA betting underdog brings to the Octagon a three-fight winning streak and a record of 13-4-1. During the span he's utilized his stellar standup and submission skills to end each fight before the outcome could be decided by the judges. Penn's most recent bout was on May 24, 2008, when he scored a third-round TKO victory over Sean Sherk at UFC 84.

St-Pierre owns a four-fight winning streak constructed of athleticism, as one of the game's most well rounded fighters with an impressive 17-2-0 mark. In his last fight on August 9, 2008, the welterweight champion was taken the distance by Jon Fitch but won by way of unanimous decision at UFC 84. Prior to his fight with Fitch, he disposed of Matt Serra, Matt Hughes and Josh Koscheck, a trio of very strong opponents.

Also on the card, Lyoto "The Dragon" Machida and Thiago Silva will square off in a 205-pound bout and one of the two will suffer his first career loss. Both fighters own an MMA record of 13-0. Machida is a master in karate, who's most recent victory came against Tito Ortiz via unanimous decision at UFC 84. Four of his last five fights has been decided by the judges. Despite lacking flashy knockout power, oddsmakers are giving him a wealth of respect, pricing him at -300.

Unlike Machida, Silva likes to end things in a hurry with an aggressive striking style. Three of his last four victories came in the opening round with the other ending in Round 2, as well, three of the four were won by way of TKO. Silva's most recent win came by submission against Antonio Mendes, who was forced to tap out in the first round at UFC 84 on May 24, 2008. Silva is a dangerous fighter and the online UFC betting community will be hard pressed to pass up his sports wagering value of +200.

Stephan "American Psycho" Bonnar missed all of 2008 but returns to the Octagon for a light heavyweight fight on Saturday after a 15 month layoff to take on Jon ''Bones'' Jones. At 14-4-0 Bonnar's only losses came against former champion Forrest Griffin (twice), current UFC champion Rashad Evans and another on cuts to unbeaten Machida. Jones is unbeaten at 7-0, but oddsmakers are giving Bonnar the edge at -175 with Jones being +135.

Rounding out UFC 94's main card is a lightweight bout featuring Nate Diaz (10-2-0) against Clay "The Carpenter" Guida (24-6-0) and a welterweight fight between Karo "The Heat" Parisyan (26-5-0) versus Dong Hyun "Stun Gun" Kim (11-0-1). If you wager UFC online, visit the BetUS UFC odds for all the fights, including the preliminary bouts.