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Home » Bellator » Bellator Picks » Bellator Light Heavyweight Grand Prix Preview

Bellator Light Heavyweight Grand Prix Preview

Paolo Go
Feb 18, 2021, 2:36pm ET
in Bellator Picks
Yoel Romero throws a punch at Paulo Costa in the second round during their Middleweight Bout at UFC 241 at Honda Center

Joe Scarnici/Getty Images/AFP

Bellator returned with a vengeance last week by unveiling some blockbuster news that included a deal with Showtime and an eight-man light heavyweight grand prix that begins on April 9.

Featured in this grand prix are some of the best 205ers in MMA and the BetUS online sportsbook has the online sports betting odds on each of their chances at winning.

We take a quick glimpse at all eight fighters and size up how well they should do in the tournament and if the odds match their prospects.

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*odds are subject to change

Vadim Nemkov

  • Odds: +175
  • Record: 12-2 (5-0 Bellator)
  • Opponent: Phil Davis

The Bellator light heavyweight champion will face off against Davis in the opening round in a rematch of their 2018 bout he eked out a split decision win. But the Russian protege to the great Fedor should be better prepared this time. With better wrestling, only one or two fighters in the tournament have a chance against him hence why he’s the favorite.

Yoel Romero

  • Odds: +350
  • Record: 13-5 (0-0 Bellator)
  • Opponent: Anthony “Rumble” Johnson

The former Olympian and all-around athletic specimen make his Bellator debut against an equally dangerous Rumble Johnson. Romero did everything but win gold as a 185er in the UFC and a move up in weight could make him faster and healthier, a terrifying thought. Even at 43, he is the most explosive fighter here.

Ryan Bader

  • Odds: +500
  • Record: 27-6 1 NC (5-1 1 NC Bellator)
  • Opponent: Lyoto Machida

Bader was “the man” in Bellator until Nemkov rolled in and head kicked him. Despite his recent success, I still see Bader as an overachieving gatekeeper and I favor most of the other side of the bracket against him in the finals. His odds are highly overrated as he’s already facing a fighter who knocked him out cold previously.

Anthony “Rumble” Johnson

  • Odds: +650
  • Record: 22-6 (0-0 Bellator)
  • Opponent: Yoel Romero

Rumble has the best value here as far as betting picks go. I suspect the near-four-year layoff is why oddsmakers are underrating Johnson. But at his peak, Johnson should be the favorite. He has the biggest knockout power here and he can wrestle. The only fighter he’s lost to at 205 is Daniel Cormier and he’s not in the tournament.

Corey Anderson

  • Odds: +700
  • Record: 14-5 (1-0 Bellator)
  • Opponent: Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov

Just like Bader, I consider Anderson nothing more than a gatekeeper even in Bellator. He has solid wrestling and striking and is constantly improving. But four of his five losses have been KO’s and he’s going up against legitimate knockout threats in every round including his first-round opponent.

Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov

  • Odds: +1000
  • Record: 18-5-1 (0-0 Bellator)
  • Opponent: Corey Anderson

I’m not saying Yagshimuradov is going to win this whole thing, but 10-1 is very generous for this dark horse. The Turkmen is built more like a middleweight but that could also give him a speed advantage.  He’s dangerous not just because of his striking and sambo, but because not much is known about him. Bet online against him at your own risk.

Phil Davis

  • Odds: +1500
  • Record: 22-5-1 (9-2 Bellator)
  • Opponent: Vadim Nemkov

The former champ gets the toughest schedule among the eight hence his longshot odds. I don’t want to dismiss Davis entirely, but he’s already lost to three fighters (arguably four) from this tournament and he is the least threatening as a striker. Still, never count anyone out.

Lyoto Machida

  • Odds: +2500
  • Record: 26-10 (2-2 Bellator)
  • Opponent: Ryan Bader

Speaking of never counting anyone out, Machida has a realistic shot at making it to the Finals though he’d need plenty of chips to fall his way. He’s rematching Bader, who he KO’d before, although he’s 0-3 in rematches and Bader is 2-0. But the elusive and savvy former UFC champion may just pull a few surprises though I won’t hold my breath.

BET NOW ON BELLATOR LHW GRAND PRIX
Paolo Go

Paolo Go

As a long-time Toronto Raptors and Buffalo Bills fan, Go Paolo knows that every dog gets its day. Paolo fancies himself as an underdog in the sports betting world as he does not come from a traditional sports background. He did not become a hardcore sports fan until his freshman days in college studying Mass Media and Communications. While he played basketball and trained in martial arts, Paolo sees himself more as a nerd who cut his teeth in sports analysis by dropping truth bombs and stone-cold facts against crazed fans from online message boards. It was here he caught the attention of several sports journalists and website owners who gave him his start as a sportswriter. He has since published with the likes of Sportsnet and FanSided and has been writing about sports betting for over five years. Paolo is thrilled to continue covering sports and cannot wait to unearth more underdogs and unconventional winners.

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