Live Betting Weekly: Heat Ice-Cold in Third Quarter Betting
Live betting at BetUS Sportsbooks continues to draw a crowd thanks to the excitement and potential for quick profits. With the extra attention in-play betting is getting, I wanted to go over a couple of upcoming events rife with live betting value.
While it’s impossible to predict the future enough to make picks on live betting lines, we can offer some information to help you make the right choice.
Nuggets vs Heat NBA Finals
The Miami Heat managed to steal Game 2 of the NBA Finals on Sunday on the Denver Nuggets’ home court. Despite their impressive run from the Play-In Tournament to the Finals, the Heat have not been successful due to their third-quarter scoring.
Miami’s scoring has been a consistent dud for the team, including the regular season and playoffs.
Heat point differential through 20 playoff games…
1st quarter: -1
2nd quarter: -11
3rd quarter: -12
4th quarter: +90https://t.co/FenKrHKXCd— John Schuhmann (@johnschuhmann) June 5, 2023
During the regular season, Miami was a terrible NBA bet in the third quarter, with the league’s worst average of 26.3 points per game coming out of the half. It’s impossible to pinpoint the exact issue, but it’s clear the Heat take some time to get going after the midway break.
In Miami’s previous three games, their average is a nearly-pathetic 23 points per game in the third. Their slow start to the second half makes them a very risky NBA bet on the pregame lines and the live odds board.
The Nuggets, in contrast, are a great NBA betting option for the opposite reason. Denver ranked 9th during the regular season in third-quarter scoring (29.3 PPG) and has maintained that intensity in the NBA Finals.
In the third quarter of this series, Denver is 2-0 against the NBA lines for live moneyline betting.
Athletics vs Brewers Series
At this point, we all understand what kind of team the Oakland Athletics are. They are the worst team in baseball this season and perhaps the worst team in MLB history. As of Monday, Oakland is on pace to finish 31-131, which is by far the worst posted in a 162-game season.
The A’s entire team is a mess, but their bullpen has been particularly poor. We like this, and their struggles in relief have been very useful for MLB live betting.
Usually, I’d just suggest betting against the A’s bullpen after the 5th inning, but they are facing a Milwaukee Brewers team this week that is shockingly bad late in games.
Milwaukee ranks dead last in the MLB with an average of 0.24 runs scored in the 8th inning and third worst in the 9th with 0.19 runs per game. Their offense during the other eight innings is also terrible.
Brewers May Offense Ranks in MLB
AVG- .219 (28th)
OBP- .291 (29th)
OPS – .660 (27th)
R/G – 3.4 (27th)
SO/G – 9.0 (10th) 1st is WorstBrewers May Pitching Ranks in MLB
ERA – 4.91 (27th)
WHIP – 1.40 (23rd)
SO/G – 8.0 (25th)Crew was 11-16 in May.#ThisIsMyCrew
— Brewers Fever (@Brewers_Fever) June 1, 2023
We can’t ignore the fact that the A’s allow the most 8th-inning runs out of their bullpen with 0.89 per game. But the Brewers’ offense has been a disaster all year and is particularly weak later in games. The bookmakers may not adjust to this exploit in time for you to take advantage of the MLB odds.
The Athletics are also playing the Pittsburgh Pirates this week, who rank second to last in front of the Brewers regarding 8th-inning runs per game.
I’m not one to speak positively about teams on pace to break the season-loss record. But, if you want a live MLB bet for this week, fading these offenses in the 8th inning is an attractive option.
