Ayala vs Yabuki Boxing Prediction, Bet Yabuki For the Knockout, March 29

Masamichi Yabuki is underrated as the challenger to Angel Ayala’s IBF flyweight belt. The Japanese pugilist is a slight underdog per the boxing odds. But we rate him significantly better, especially since he gets a home turf bump in Japan. While Ayala is younger and undefeated, Yabuki has the experience and power edge. Thus, he’s the better boxer here.

Congratulations Masamichi Yabuki who stops Sivenathi Nontshinga in the 9th round to win the IBF World Light Flyweight Title! pic.twitter.com/yzTgfRT0t8

— Matchroom Boxing (@MatchroomBoxing) October 12, 2024

Ayala vs Yabuki How to Watch

• Fight: Angel Ayala (18-0-0, 8 KOs), Masamichi Yabuki (17-4-0, 16 KOs)
• Date/Time: Saturday, Mar. 29, 9:00 p.m. ET
• Location: Aichi Sky Expo, Aichi, Japan
• Ayala vs Yabuki Live Stream: Boxing Stream

Stay updated! Check the latest boxing fight odds here before making your wagers.

Best Prop and Round Betting Picks for Ayala vs Yabuki

• Yabuki Too Much for Ayala, Lands KO

Masamichi Yabuki moves up in weight following his scintillating victory over Sive Nontshinga. The Japanese brawler has consistently been underestimated at the loss of many boxing predictions. What he lacks in expertise, he makes up for in power. And what he lacks in speed or athleticism, he has grit and heart. That’s why we lean a KO prop bet here.

Sure, being powerful and gritty does not always get the job done. A more technical boxer like Kenshiro Teraji, who keeps rolling as a pound-for-pound stud, can exploit him. But to Yabuki’s credit, he is the last boxer to beat Teraji and he finished him. He can do the same to the less-experienced Ayala.

The champion is younger and faster and has never tasted defeat. But he has also not fought outside of his native Mexico and has rarely faced top-tier competition. He was briefly exposed in a razor-thin decision victory over Felix Alvarado. Many pundits scored that against him.

We’ll rate Yabuki as the same level, if not better than Alvarado. He certainly hits just as hard, which is why our boxing pick is for him to land the KO at +240. All but one of Yabuki’s victories have come by knockout. He’ll either get it or lose a close decision against Ayala.

The key for Yabuki is to quickly close the distance on Ayala. He does his best work from up close. Ayala was getting teed off by Dave Apolinario. While he’s the champion, he’s still green and can get a rude awakening courtesy of Yabuki. Bet on the KO.

Bet on Masamichi Yabuki To Win By KO or TKO (+240)

Felix Alvarado knocks down Angel Ayala with a right hand in round 1.#BercheltRuiz
pic.twitter.com/xbTXsnIZFw

— 𝑲𝒏𝒐𝒄𝒌𝒐𝒖𝒕 𝑱𝒐𝒖𝒓𝒏𝒂𝒍𝒔 (@KOJournals) October 15, 2023

• This Fight Will Not Need Judges

Another underrated boxing bet here is to bet on a finish on either side. Yabuki is a hard-hitter but also has a cracked jaw. He’s been finished twice and not exactly by power punchers. Teraji needed just three rounds to stop him in 2022. Seigo Akui also finished him.

As a brawler, Yabuki can leave himself open. Even if Ayala does not hit that hard, one well-placed punch could hurt Yabuki. This is an alternative bet if you’re not sold on Yabuki getting the finish as this covers both sides.

Ayala’s finishes have come via accumulation. He is unlikely to land that one-punch KO on Yabuki. But he can finish him over 12 rounds unless he gets stopped first. Our bet is on the latter. Regardless, this is a boxing fight prediction worth wagering.

Bet on Fight To Go The Distance – No (-120)

Question of the Day

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.