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Las Vegas Boxing Odds: Will Barrios vs Maidana Deliver an Upset?

Mario Barrios, a formidable competitor known for his fearlessness and talent, is stepping back into the ring to defend his WBC interim welterweight championship. His opponent, Fabian Maidana, is still trying to carve his own path out of his brother’s shadow.


Barrios vs Maidana: Vegas Sleeps on Upset? Betting Odds & Picks
Mario Barrios enters the ring prior to a middleweight fight | Sarah Stier/Getty Images/AFP

In the co-main event, just before the thrilling battle between Canelo Alvarez and Jaime Munguia, Barrios and Maidana are set to deliver an unpredictable showdown. While Las Vegas boxing odds may lean towards one side, the true excitement lies in the unknown, in how these two fighters will match up in their 147-pound clash. See the latest Vegas boxing odds lines here.


Barrios vs Maidana Event Information

  • Date and Time: Saturday, May. 4, 2024 – 08:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • Promotion: Golden Boy/TGB Promotions
  • Scheduled Bouts: 12
  • Barrios vs Maidana Live Stream: Box Live
  • Main Event Bout: Canelo Alvarez vs. Jaime Munguia
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Mario Barrios vs. Fabian Maidana


Mario Barrios: Unraveling His Story Amid Las Vegas Boxing Odds


Accepting back-to-back fights versus Gervonta Davis and Keith Turman proved that Mario Barrios is fearless in competition. They’re the only two losses on his record, and suffering to defeat against two of the greatest holds little shame moving forward.

Impressively, Barrios’ power nearly had Davis on the ropes, and in those aforementioned losses, he evidently implemented the lessons learned against Yordenis Ugas after dropping him on two occasions en route to a clear unanimous decision dominance.

Aged just 28, Barrios continues to evolve within the elite realm. With size, speed, power, and an evident boxing prowess to achieve greatness, he could be one impressive win away from matching up with the division’s current face, IBF titleholder Jaron Ennis.


Maidana Fighting for Respect: Insights from Las Vegas Boxing Odds

Marcos Maidana etched his name into the boxing history books. Since his retirement, the younger brother, Fabian Maidana, has had to fight inside and outside the ring to escape the high expectations his sibling set.

Unfortunately, his career has previously been in tatters, suffering multiple losses to Jaider Parra and then again to an unestablished opponent in FranciscoMercado. However, in a turn of events, the Argentine has broken from this rough patch and currently rides a four-fight win streak, albeit a stretch that involves unnoteworthy challengers. This recent form suggests that Maidana might be in a better place mentally and physically, which could make him a more formidable opponent for Barrios.



Maidana Stepping Out of His Brother’s Shadow

Maidana believes his position on a Canelo card gives him the perfect opportunity to step out of his brother’s shadow, Marcos Maidana, one of the most legendary Argentinian fighters.

“My brother has left an indelible mark in boxing, no doubt about that, and I’ve come here to leave my own mark,” he said during an interview with BoxingScene. “To win, to give the fans a great fight, and start my own chapter.”

  • Maidana owns a 72% knockout rate
  • Barrios owns a 64% knockout rate
  • Barrios’ lone career losses came against Gervonta Davis and Keith Turman


Barrios vs Maidana Odds and Spreads

Barrios vs Maidana: The Tale of the Tape

Pro Record
Win/Loss (Last 5)
WBC (Interim) World (Welterweight)
Championship Titles
217 days
157 days
10 years
9 years


Barrios vs Maidana: Skillset Breakdown

Barrios’ recent domination displayed a clear game plan that we haven’t witnessed that often, as he punished Ugas consistently with the jab throughout all twelve months. A similar game plan could prove successful this weekend versus an opponent who’s already stated he plans on delivering a lot of volume.

With said volume, Barrios’ jab could punish Maidana, who will surrender three inches in height. In contrast, should Maidana’s volume disrupt Barrios, he may not feel comfortable attempting those repeated and precise jabs that put Ugas on his heels.

Maidana and Barrios from a Betting Perspective

As per Las Vegas boxing odds, once again, we’re faced with juiced moneyline odds, a recurring theme on Saturday’s fight card. The -1200 price on Barrios might seem just post-fight, but there isn’t a smidgen of betting value if we take this wagering approach.

Both men enter this WBC interim title bout with fight-ending power, but it’s worth highlighting their durability throughout their respective careers. Maidana has never been knocked out, and only ‘Tank’ Davis, one of the heaviest hitters pound-for-pound, has managed to halt Barrios in his tracks.

While statistical mathematics isn’t practical when risking our bankroll, I anticipate a more technical contest than many expect between Barrios and Maidana. With two solid chins, opting for the total to go over 10 ½ rounds for close to even money seems like a reasonable path to securing some betting value.


My Best Bet:




Question of the Day

What is Mario Barrios’ professional record?

In 30 professional bouts, Mario Barrios won 28 and lost two, with 18 of his successes coming by KO/TKO.


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