Duarte vs Madueno Prediction, Picks and Props Feb 15: Bet over 10.5 Rounds

The fight is on! Despite an injury to headliner Regis Prograis, Miguel Madueno steps in to fight Oscar Duarte Jurado on Saturday night. The boxing betting odds still favor Duarte, as they did moderately against Prograis. Now he’s close to being a 1/10 chalk against the late-replacement boxer. This All-Mexican affair will produce fireworks and we can also profit off of it in these ways.

The show goes on for Oscar Duarte following the collapse of his fight with Regis Prograis.

Opportunity knocks for Miguel Madueno, who steps in for what could be an explosive main event in Anaheim.#DuarteMadueno pic.twitter.com/kGHxwnV8FM

— Boxing News+ (@BoxingNewsPlus) February 10, 2025

Duarte vs Madueno How to Watch

• Fight: Oscar Duarte Jurado (28-2-1, 22 KOs), Miguel Madueno (31-3-0, 28 KOs)
• Date/Time: Saturday, Feb. 15, 8:00 p.m. ET
• Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
• Duarte vs Madueno Live Stream: DAZN

Stay updated! Check the latest boxing news here before placing your bets.

Best 2 Props and Round Betting Picks for Duarte vs Madueno

1. Duarte Wins Via Decision

Duarte has been on a roll and a win over Prograis would have put him in line for a title shot. Per boxing stats, his only defeat in the last six years came against Ryan Garcia, who just humbled Devin Haney (albeit with help from PEDs).

He’s the likely winner against Miguel Madueno, who is dangerous but not on his level. Still, it’s hard to bet Duarte given the BetUS sportsbook boxing lines.

Madueno is a prolific puncher as evidenced by his 90.3% knockout rate. This is an impressive stat at super lightweight (140 pounds) though it also begs scrutiny. The 26-year-old has fought some suspect competition,, which is where he’s scored most of his KOs. When he fought decent opponents, he either lost or went to a decision.

We’re not underestimating Madueno, who is nicknamed “Explosivo.” Those who fancy a “puncher’s chance” can bet him at +550. If the book opened a KO prop, this is an even better bet online. But we won’t buy it as Duarte will likely weather his storm and take him to a decision.

While we’re not ecstatic betting Duarte at -900, a decision prop is what we’re waiting for. If this opens, bet it because Madueno is durable. Duarte is also not a knockout artist, even if he has a 78.5% knockout rate. But if push comes to shove, bet Duarte to win.

Bet on Oscar Duarte to Win By Decision or Tech Decision (-140)

When Oscar Duarte steps in the ring, 𝐢𝐭’𝐬 𝐧𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝐚 𝐟𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭…it’s a 𝐖𝐀𝐑! This time around expect 𝒏𝒐𝒕𝒉𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒍𝒆𝒔𝒔!! 4 days until fight night…

🎟️: https://t.co/dFQp6KfB19#DuarteMadueño | LIVE on DAZN Feb 15 pic.twitter.com/Mb5ZPfR5vV

— Golden Boy (@GoldenBoyBoxing) February 11, 2025

2. Duarte vs Madueno Goes Over 10.5 Rounds

Alternatively, we can bet on Duarte and Madueno to go the distance or over 10.5 rounds. The boxing prop will be better as we get longer odds than -215. But the total still has value as Duarte could finish Madueno late in the fight, as he did with Joseph Diaz.

While Madueno is tough, he’s also coming in on short notice. And he’s usually had an issue with managing his gas tank. He’s the type of boxer to go hard and try to knock out his opponent early. When that fails, he’ll struggle to get to the final bell.

Duarte is not a power-puncher but he still hits hard. He could catch a gasping Madueno and finish him via a referee stoppage or a cut (doctor’s stoppage). But a decision is also likely as Duarte will not be hasty in fighting Madueno, even if he’s known for his action-packed style.

Our boxing prediction is a Duarte win by decision or late stoppage. Either way, bet on over 10.5 rounds as we’d be surprised if it finished in Round 10 or earlier.

Bet on Duarte vs Madueno Over 10.5 Rounds (-215)

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Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.