Sunny Edwards puts his IBF flyweight belt on the line against a former IBF champion himself Felix Alvarado. The Nicaraguan vacated his light flyweight strap to move up and become a two-division champion. The boxing odds are in favor of Edwards retaining his strap, though he faces what could be his toughest challenge as a professional.
Alvarado as Dangerous as Underdogs Come
Make no mistake about it: Alvarado is not the smaller boxer here. Even if he is coming from a lower-weight class, Alvarado has a bigger frame and packs more power. The Nicaraguan is the twin brother and main sparring partner to former super featherweight champion Rene Alvarado.
Alvarado has over an 86 percent knockout-to-win ratio. And moving up in weight, Alvarado is arguably closer to his natural weight class. His power has transitioned as he made quick work of Luis Cerrito Hernandez to become the mandatory challenger to Edwards.
Felix Alvarado gets the Round 1 KO 🔥 pic.twitter.com/5ixJ2GxeIx
— DAZN Boxing (@DAZNBoxing) August 15, 2021
Like his compatriot, Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez, Alvarado is an aggressive pressure puncher. He gets in the ring looking to do one thing: knock out his opponent. This can come at the expense of defense or strategy. So those boxing betting online on Alvarado could also hunt for a knockout prop as it’s “KO or bust.”
Edwards’ Mettle Will be Tested
On the flip side is Edwards. The British champ is nowhere near the power puncher as Alvarado. But he has everything else: technique, fight IQ, and durability. Edwards’ lack of knockouts may not intimidate anyone, which can work to his favor as he beats his opponents with strategy.
Edwards, who considers himself one of the “most avoided boxers,” is becoming a victim of his own success. Few boxers line up to fight him because of how difficult his style can be. He may not knock them out, but he will expose them and beat them via an uncontested decision.
The online sportsbook favors Edwards for good reason. Over 12 rounds, he should be able to outlast his more athletic opponent. A prop on him to win via a decision is another good way to bet on the champion.
Edwards vs Alvarado Head-to-Head
Alvarado, despite coming up from the lower weight class, will be the taller of the two boxers (by an inch). He has a 68-inch reach. Both boxes in the orthodox stance and have each fought twice this year.
Edwards vs Alvarado Fight Information
- Records: Edwards (18-0-0, 3 KOs) vs Alvarado (38-2, 33 KOs)
- Location: Utilita Arena, Sheffield, England
- Day/Time: Friday, Nov. 11, 5 p.m. ET
- Edwards vs Alvarado Live Stream: Box Live
Edwards vs Alvarado Betting Lines
Edwards vs Alvarado Picks & Prediction
From a pick’s perspective, we like Edwards to outlast Alvarado in a close decision. Alvarado will start strong and potentially even knock Edwards down within the first four rounds. But the champion will start to take over when Alvarado slows down toward the latter half of the fight.
However, betting-wise, we like Alvarado to get this done quickly. The odds on Alvarado are long enough to warrant a bet. We’ve already seen plenty of upsets so consider this another one in the making.
Sunny Edwards is listed at -500 in our Vegas boxing lines. This means that if you wager $100 on him, you have a chance to win $20. Felix Alvarado is +350, offering a chance to win $350 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Edwards a 83.33% chance to win, with Alvarado at 22.22%.