They Run It Back
Juan Francisco Estrada and Roman Gonzalez meet for the third time in Arizona on Saturday for the vacant WBC world flyweight title.
Boxing odds have Gonzalez as the -200 favorite, despite being beaten in the first meeting. However, it was a close contest, so it could go either way.
Estrada Proving it Wasn’t a Fluke
Many boxing critics for Estrada’s win in the second fight as a fluke, but he deserved the win and he doesn’t deserve to be the +165 betting online underdog.
The 43-3 Mexican superstar is the top-ranked flyweight in the world and he deserves respect on his name. He won 113-115, 117-111, 115-113, in the second meeting, and although controversal, we thought he did enough to win.
It showed how much improvement he made since losing to Gonzalez in the first meeting, which came in 2012 by unanimous decision. Since that loss, he has been defeated only once and that was a close loss to Wisaksil Wangek.
Since beating Gonzalez, he took care of Argi Cortes in a close bout. He narrowly edged the challenger on the scorecards, which could be why the sportsbook has Estrada as the underdog.
Scoop on Free Play from the Locker Room
Gonzalez Seeking Revenge
It’s fair to say that Gonzalez wasn’t happy with losing to Estrada last year. He bounced back with a unanimous decision win over Julio Martinez, which was a four-star fight.
The 35-year-old, nicknamed Chocolatito, own 41 knockout wins from 51 fights, which makes him a dangerous fighter.
“Estrada and Chocolatito will go down in history as one of the great rivalries in the sport, and on December 3, one of these two great fighters will beat the other, which promises a great fight, it is an early Christmas gift,” Eddie Hearn, Matchroom Boxing promoter said.
There is a stack of betting support for Gonzalez, which isn’t surprising. He has always been a popular fighter, so the betting line could be inflated.
Estrada vs Gonzalez Head-to-Head
It’s the third meeting between Estrada and Gonzalez. The first meeting went to Gonzalez in 2012 before Estrada evened it up at 1-1 last year.
Estrada vs Gonzalez Fight Information
- Fight: Estrada (43-3) vs Gonzalez (51-3)
- Location: Gila River Arena, Glendale, AZ
- Day/Time: Saturday, Dec. 3, 8 p.m. ET
- Estrada vs Gonzalez Live Stream: Box Live
Estrada vs Gonzalez Betting Lines
Estrada vs Gonzalez Picks & Prediction
We’re taking the value with Estrada and expecting him to repeat the dose he delivered in 2021.
Bettors get lovely odds of +165 and it’s likely to go the distance, so include over 10½ rounds at -300 in boxing parlays.
Estrada is listed at +165 in our Vegas lines. This means that if you wager $100 on Estrada, you have a chance to win $165. Gonzalez is -200, offering a chance to win $50 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Estrada a 37.74% chance to win, with Gonzalez at 66.67%.