Boxing Lines Overwhelmingly Favor Estrada
Seniesa “Super Bad” Estrada returns and the boxing betting odds expect her to crush Jazmin Gala Villarino. The Mexican-American now fights for Top Rank and is back after sitting out almost a year, likely due to contract disputes with her old promoter — Golden Boy. Her bout with Villarino then is looking like a “tune-up fight”.
What Does Villarino Offer Estrada?
Villarino enters this bout as the little-known challenger. One look at the online gambling lines and bettors may consider her in trouble. However, we may be underestimating the Argentine professional. For one, Villarino holds some notable wins.
She defeated Yenifer Leon, a mutual opponent with Estrada, late last year. While it was a TKO by retirement, Villarino was winning the fight on the scorecards. Next, she beat Judith Vivanco in Mexico. Most notably, Villarino beat both on foreign soil – Vivanco in her own country.
While Villarino does not seem to possess enough power to equal Estrada, she is quick and polished enough to make things a bit interesting. The power disadvantage, however, may be too much to overcome.
Estrada Looking To Make a Splash
Now that she can move past all of the drama, Estrada should be squarely focused on dusting her overmatched challenger. The 30-year-old has grown quite famous for her viral seven-second knockout of Miranda Adkins in 2020.
Seniesa Estrada scores one of the fastest knockouts (seven-seconds) in women’s history 👀
(via @DAZN_USA) pic.twitter.com/OVlz543OVX
— ESPN Ringside (@ESPNRingside) July 25, 2020
Adkins was clearly a “lamb to a lion” as mentioned, but Estrada tends to make her opponents look like that. She knocked out the once-unbeaten Maria Micheo Santizo in her last. Estrada has some of the fastest hands in women’s boxing and her power has been apparent since she was a girl as she dropped boys in sparring.
But bettors may be hard-pressed to find value when betting online on Estrada. Even as a parlay piece, Estrada hardly moves the needle. The props are also undecided if she wins by KO (-110) or by decision (-120). Either way, the minimumweight star could be aching to unload some frustration once the bell rings.
Estrada vs Villarino Head-to-Head
Estrada will be slightly larger than her counterpart as she has a one-inch height and reach advantage over Villarino. The challenger is also older by two years although Estrada has had significantly more pro fights at 22 versus nine.
Estrada vs Villarino Fight Information
- Records: Estrada (22-0-0, 9 KOs) vs Villarino (6-1-2, 1 KO)
- Location: Palms Casino Resort, Las Vegas
- Day/Time: Saturday, Nov. 12th, 10 p.m. ET
- Estrada vs Villarino Livestream: Box Live
Estrada vs Villarino Betting Lines
Estrada vs Villarino Picks & Prediction
Estrada should set the stage for the Alimkhanul-Bentley main event with a masterclass of a performance. There is a good chance she beats Villarino hard enough for the corner or the referee to stop the fight out of mercy. However, it may come late in the fight as Villarino won’t be a sitting duck and Estrada has not fought in nearly a year.
So instead of betting aside, bet on this one to go over the 8½-round total set by the sportsbook.
Seniesa Estrada is listed at -3000 in our Vegas boxing lines. This means that if you wager $100 on him, you have a chance to win $3. Jazmin Villarino is +1000, offering a chance to win $1000 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Estrada a 96.77% chance to win, with Villarino at 9.09%.