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Foster vs Nova Main Event Analysis, Boxing Odds, and Betting Preview

O’Shaquie “Ice Water” Foster and Abraham “El Super” Nova will compete for the WBC World title in a 12-round junior lightweight bout at the Madison Square Garden Theatre in New York on Friday, February 16. BetUS brings you the latest boxing odds and our best bets.

As the bright lights of Theatre at MSG shine on Foster and Nova, our bets on boxing fights will hopefully brighten our bankroll, so please join me as I break down this highly contested bout.

Foster vs Nova Main Event Analysis, Boxing Odds, and Betting Preview
Foster vs Nova Main Event Analysis, Boxing Odds, and Betting Preview

Foster vs Nova Event Information

  1. Date and Time: Friday, Feb. 16, 2024 – 9 p.m. ET
  2. Location: The Theatre at Madison Square Garden, New York
  3. Promotion: Top Rank
  4. Scheduled Bouts: 8
  5. Live Stream: Box Live
  6. Main Event Bout: O’Shaquie Foster vs Abraham Nova
  7. Moneyline Probability: Foster – 90% (-900) Nova – 15.4% (+550)


Foster vs Nova Betting Odds

Foster vs Nova: Fighter Previews

O’Shaquie “Ice Water” Foster

With four champions holding four distinct versions of the junior lightweight titleand little progress in cementing those belts either, the junior lightweight situation has looked a bit broken since Shakur Stevenson’s move up to the lightweight division.

Among the finest possible junior lightweight fights right now, O’Shaquie Foster’s recent spat with undefeated IBF champion Joe Cordina isthe bestwe’llgetto a potential unification champion in the category.

Nevertheless, although we eagerly anticipate that bout at a later date, Foster will attempt to defend his crown on Friday night. He and Eduardo Hernandez had an intense battle in October, with Foster rallying to stop Hernandez in the fourth round in Mexico.

  • Foster Moneyline Odds: -900


Abraham “El Super” Nova

After a stellar amateur career and a perfect start to his professional tenure, Abraham Nova took a hopeful first step up to the big leagues against Robeisy Ramirez, a two-time Olympic gold champion. But that hope quickly faded as the Puerto Rican boxer suffered a devastating knockout defeat.

It would have been understandable if Nova took it easy after that painful defeat. Instead, he faced the relentless Adam Lopez in New York, knocking him down twice to secure a convincing decision victory.

Despite recent strong showings against Adam Lopez and Jonatan Romero, Abraham Nova has clearly hit his divisional ceiling and is likely shy of what is required to win the junior lightweight championship despite the elite-level bouts he’s been involved in.

  • Nova Moneyline Odds: +550


Foster vs Nova: The Tale of the Tape

Puerto Rico
Pro Record
Win/Loss (Last 5)
WBC World (Junior Lightweight)
Championship Titles
111 days
203 days
11 years
7 years

Foster vs Nova: Main Event Breakdown & Analysis

When he’s on his game, Foster’s style makes him one of the most entertaining fighters to watch, as he has an aesthetically beautiful style; however, it is somewhat flawed. He often has problems gauging a precise range, and his preferred guard, the “Philly shell,” isn’t good enough to compete with originator George Benton.

Because he struggled under Hernandez’s smothering and pressure attacks, Foster was forced to dig deep to win that contest. Although he eventually won by stoppage, he doesn’t prefer the all-out-war approach and prefers to outwit the opposition technically.

Nova keeps his guard low and has a mountain of technical flaws. We’ve watched his footwork result in crossed feet on multiple occasions, and his overall game-planning has a lot to be desired.

Counterpunching makes Nova so dangerous, particularly when he throws his counters maliciously and aims to knock out his opponents. His best path to victory would be through a brawling style, similar to Hernandez’s, but his overall fight IQ and lack of technical ability are the reasons why we’re looking at a +550 price at the sportsbooks.

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The Best Betting Pick: Foster To Win By Decision [-150]

When betting on boxing, good luck finding Las Vegas boxing odds with an implied probability of 90% or higher that have lost because it simply isn’t commonplace within the sport. However, nobody desires to put up 9 units of their bankroll to win 1u in any situation; nothing in this world besides death and taxes is guaranteed, after all.

With that said, as Foster is the likely winner of Friday’s WBC title scrap, we’re forced to evaluate our options on the boxing prop market to discover the best possible value.

Considering that Foster hasn’t been the most dangerous power puncher during his professional career and the fact that Nova has lost inside the distance in just one of his 24 fights, the decision prop at -150 is something I can get behind.

  1. Foster has won by decision in 7 of his previous 10 WBC junior lightweight bouts
  2. Nova has only been knocked out in 1 of his 24 pro boxing bouts to date
  3. Foster has never been knocked out


WBC Junior Lightweight Title Main Event: The Crystal Ball Picks

In this all-orthodox WBC Junior Lightweight bout, a quick rub of my crystal ball reveals a straightforward path for the champion, who’ll own the smoother footwork, output, and defensive tendencies that will lead to a unanimous decision victory.

Potential Boxing Bets from a Foster Win By Decision:


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