Martinez vs Ioka 2 Prediction and Picks for 5/11: Champ by Decision (-165) is Best Bet

Fernando Daniel Martinez and Kazuto Ioka run it back in Japan as they fight for the WBA super flyweight belt, which the former defended last year. The boxing betting lines expect a similar result but with more confidence as Martinez now opens as the moderate favorite.

Last time, Ioka was favored, but the champ turned him back with relative ease. We don’t see much changing here so expect deja vu.

ESTE DOMINGO DESDE LAS 05:00 AM POR ESPN 📺 🇦🇷

👑 Fernando “Puma” Martínez🇦🇷 🆚 Kazuto Ioka 🇯🇵

🏆 DEFENSA MUNDIAL WBA Súper Mosca

🏟️ Ota City, Tokio, Japón

🗓️ 11 de Mayo#ChinoMaidanaPromotions #MartinezIoka2 pic.twitter.com/C5Wnsuo6eM

— Chino Maidana Promotions (@chinomaidanapro) May 6, 2025

Best Prop and Round Betting Picks for Martinez vs Ioka

• Martinez Beats Ioka Over 12 Rounds Again

Martinez and Ioka are almost the same: They are both aggressive fighters who will pressure their opponents until they break. While Ioka has a bit more power, Martinez is the busier boxer. This is what makes him a solid boxing pick today. For an even better line, find his decision prop.

The Argentinian reminds us of a smaller Marcos Maidana as he’s just a pitbull inside the ring. He throws punches in bunches and with plenty of power behind them. However, he also lacks that one-shot knockout power, hence why only 53% of his wins have come KO. That’s why it’s best to take the decision prop for those who bet on boxing fights.

While we expect Ioka to change his tactics, he will be hard-pressed to overcome Martinez’s work rate. Ioka will do better if he mixes up his punches and targets Martinez’s body to slow him down a bit. However, Ioka is also much more precise and picky with his shots. Thus, Martinez will be busier and that could win the judges over.

Ioka may finish this fight with higher accuracy and he may even land the better shots. But Martinez will outland him by almost double and he’ll start the fight faster. The champ should also feel more confident as he’s beaten Ioka before. He’s our boxing prediction to win and retain yet again.

Bet on Fernando Martinez to Win By Decision (-165)

11 DÍAS PARA OTRA PELEA MUNDIALISTA🏆

👑 Fernando “Puma” Martínez🇦🇷 🆚 Kazuto Ioka 🇯🇵

🏆 DEFENSA MUNDIAL WBA Súper Mosca

🏟️ Ota City, Tokio, Japón

🗓️ 11 de Mayo#ChinoMaidanaPromotions #MartinezIoka2 pic.twitter.com/1JCzEGOvA4

— Chino Maidana Promotions (@chinomaidanapro) April 30, 2025

• Fight Goes to the Judges Again

We’re not so keen to bet on boxing online with props at this short price. But this is better than betting the fight to go over 10.5 rounds at -550. While we expect a firefight between these brawlers, they are also too durable for a finish. Neither boxer has been knocked down or visibly wobbled. This trend should continue.

Martinez may look to make a statement as he eyes a big fight with Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez. He may try to get Ioka out of there. But the Japanese boxer has enough power to keep Martinez on his toes. Getting too reckless could lead to Martinez getting rocked even if he’s proven to have an iron chin thus far.

Additionally, these men are just around 115 pounds. You can hit like a truck, but that’s still not a lot of force. We’d be shocked if the boxing news show a knockout from either side. So it’s not the best odds, but consider this prop over the total.

Bet on Fight to Go The Distance – Yes (-400)

Martinez vs Ioka 2 How To Watch

• Matchup: Martinez (17-0-0, 9 KOs) vsIoka (31-3-1, 16 KOs)
• Date/Time: Sunday, May 11, 3:00 a.m. ET
• Location: Ota City General Gymnasium, Tokyo, JP
• Martinez vs Ioka 2 Live Stream: Boxing Stream

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.

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