Navarrete vs Suarez Prediction and Picks for May 10: Bet Bout to Go Distance (+110)

It might get hot in Pechanga Emanuel Navarrete and Charly Suarez throw down. This Mexico versus Philippines showdown will produce fireworks, which is why boxing’s Vegas odds favor a finish for the champion: Navarrete. We can’t disagree as “Vaquero” can make a statement as the better boxer. However, we see plenty of value in betting this bout to go the distance.

NOT DONE YET 🌴

OUR VAQUERO FIGHT WEEK IS HERE. pic.twitter.com/IFU3EMArHs

— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) May 5, 2025

Best Prop and Round Betting Picks for Navarrete vs Suarez

• Fight to Go the Distance (+110)

Maybe it’s a gutsy boxing prediction tonight, but we’re betting on this one to go all 12 rounds. Navarrete is a known finisher as 82% of his wins have come via stoppage. But he’s not exactly a knockout artist, and most of his KOs are TKOs. He will have to pour it on and beat Suarez from pillar to post to get a finish. At plus odds, we’re saying that won’t happen.

While Suarez is a relatively unknown boxer, he’s not a tomato can. Sure, this is a big step up in competition, and the “King’s Warrior” is already 36. He’s also a technician and a shrewd defensive boxer. It’s a good foil against Navarrete, who is an aggressor.

Also notable is how powerful Suarez can be. Yes, he’s not a power puncher, but he’s got enough “oomph” in his punches to keep Navarrete honest. The Mexican will not recklessly engage Suarez, which is why the boxing lines favor the finish a bit too enthusiastically.

This one is closer to a 50/50 chance of going the distance. We can see a late finish for Navarrete via a mercy stoppage. Suarez could find himself in a bad spot. But he may still be in the fight, which won’t warrant a TKO. The best boxing odds are for a decision.

THE POWER FROM SUAREZ 😤 pic.twitter.com/bm3Xke4tnN

— ESPN Ringside (@ESPNRingside) September 21, 2024

Bet on Fight to Go the Distance – Yes (+110)

• Bet Navarrete to Win By Decision

Furthering our point, a Navarrete points prop is shrewd at nearly 2/1. Yes, he starched Oscar Valdez in a “bounce-back” fight, but that’s a different bout. Suarez is unproven but is sound defensively enough to survive to 12 rounds. Filipino boxers also tend to have good chins, just like their Mexican counterparts.

Navarrete may be dominating boxing news as he looks to make a last run at another big bout. We’re not suggesting Suarez will steal the show or win. This is Navarrete all the way. But the challenger should be able to hang as Joet Gonzalez did – or Valdez in his first shot

Instead of betting Navarrete to win, which is at -425 (not a bad moneyline), take him to win on points. This may be the best boxing pick tonight, given how much the payout is.

Bet on Emanuel Navarrete to Win By Decision (+210)

Navarrete vs Suarez How to Watch

• Matchup: Emanuel Navarrete (39-2-1, 32 KOs) vs Charly Suarez (18-0-0, 10 KOs)
• Date/Time: Saturday, May 10, 8:00 p.m. ET
• Location: Pechanga Arena, San Diego, CA, USA
• Navarrete vs Suarez Live stream: Fubo.tv

Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets

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