Navarrete vs Valdez Prediction: Who Will Win the Rematch on Dec 7?
- Get the best Navarrete vs Valdez odds at BetUS.
- Following a decision loss vs Emanuel Navarrete in 2023, Oscar Valdez seeks redemption.
- Emanuel Navarette could be in a perfect bounce-back spot at -270 boxing lines.
- Read on to find the best Navarrete vs Valdez betting pick.
All-Mexican boxing action is so nice and we’re getting it twice! If you’re getting a sense of déjà vu, those senses wouldn’t be wrong as Emanuel Navarette and fellow countryman Oscar Valdez are scheduled to compete for super featherweight gold this weekend in a rematch from their epic, all-Mexican war of 2023.
Fight night is approaching, and the boxing odds are live, leaving just one task: to break this highly anticipated championship rematch down and provide you with the analysis and best boxing bets you’re here for!
Let’s get ready to rumble!
COMING VERY SOON 🇲🇽🍿#NavarreteValdez2 | DEC 7 | @ESPN pic.twitter.com/vsf6h861d9
— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) December 1, 2024
Navarrete vs Valdez II Match Information
- Date and Time: Saturday, Dec. 7 – 07:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, Ariz.
- Promotion: Top Rank
- Scheduled Bouts: 10
- How to Watch: Box Live
- Main Event Bout: Emanuel Navarrete vs. Oscar Valdez
- Co-Main Event Bout: Rafael Espinoza vs Robeisy Ramirez
Navarrete vs Valdez Analysis
Mental Adjustments Required by Favorite
Do you remember the excitement generated during the build-up to Navarrete vs. Valdez in 2023? Well, after the barn-burner of a performance these two warriors eventually delivered, where the former took a unanimous decision, it’s easy to see why the boxing community is eager to witness this bout for a second time.
We watched two Mexican warriors deliver consistent punishment the first time out, but it’s safe to say that Navarrete has endured a slighter downturn since then despite being the defending champion in Saturday’s clash.
The San Juan Zitlaltepec native couldn’t get through Robson Conceicao as a huge favorite but kept the WBO super featherweight strap due to a majority draw. He then faltered in becoming a four-weight world champion in a lightweight title bout versus Denis Berinchyk, where he was once again tipped as a massive online betting favorite to win.
Emanuel Navarrete vs. Oscar Valdez highlights (1/2)
One of the best fights in a year of great fightspic.twitter.com/X4jJHlAqTa
— Will (@ChillemDafoe)August 14, 2023
Navarrete must ignore the recent results and ensure he’s mentally strong ahead of Saturday’s rematch. As we know from the first fight, Valdez will keep moving forward with everything he’s got. A familiar foe might put the champ’s mind at ease. Still, he mustn’t rely on history repeating itself, as those championship rounds he controlled in the first fight may not be readily available versus a more confident Valdez.
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Avoiding Past Mistakes Key for Challenger
A confident Valdez, you say? Undeniably! After he faltered versus Navarette in August of 2023, he spent six months on the sideline before starting his comeback tour to fight the belt – WBO super featherweight – which eluded his grasp. Smashing through Liam Wilson via seventh-round KO/TKO for the interim title made him a mandatory challenger, as his opportunity at redemption was instantly gained.
Per boxing trends, one aspect we learned about Valdez’s game in the first fight is toughness. Then again, we’re discussing Mexican fighters here; it’s simply in the DNA. That said, a high guard approach and a willingness to accept punishment must be corrected this time around. Valdez faced a Navarette who was on top of the world last time out, whereas Saturday’s meeting in Phoenix might deliver a new beast from a man that’s winless in his previous two fights.
Navarrete vs Valdez II: The Tale of the Tape
Navarette vs Valdez II: Skillset Analysis
It’s the same story every time a Mexican pugilist enters the ring: They’re instantly attached to being gritty and tough, with an immeasurable heart. This is precisely the case with Navarette and Valdez. Although we have seen this fight before, other than the results, not much has changed in terms of in-ring ability.
The first fight presented an absolute barn burner in boxing news where both fighters took all the punishment and refused to give in. That said, as we watched Valdez earn the respect of the masses by preventing himself from being Navarette’s 30-second knockout victim, without a tight, high guard, that certainly wouldn’t have been the case.
This was the biggest difference-maker in terms of power shots, where Navarette pieced up the body of Valdez in response to the high guard, and this was likely what paid dividends in the championship rounds where the champion took over.
The sound of those BIG body shots by @OscarValdez56 😮💨#NavarreteValdez2 | DEC 7 | @ESPN pic.twitter.com/vajkQ7P5qr
— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) November 16, 2024
From a stylistic standpoint, Navarette is non-stop in the pressure department, and his adaptability to switch up his offense was too much for the more basic, fundamentally sound Valdez. Mid-way through the first is where Valdez did find success, but even with some beautiful left hooks and clean work on the inside, the body damage certainly accumulated as he lost that spark in rounds 10, 11, and 12.
Navarette vs Valdez II Betting Trends
- Valdez has never been knocked out
- Navarette has never been knocked out
- The first Navarette vs. Valdez fight went the distance
- Navarette defeated Valdez by decision
- Navarette has gone the distance in 4 of his previous 6 pro bouts
- Valdez has gone the distance in 4 of his last 5 pro bouts
Navarette vs Valdez II Prediction and Best Bet
Outside variables and factors, such as Navarette’s inability to win since the first Valdez fight, are easily fixed with the correct mindset. Valdez’s ability to outperform Navarette, though, is not so great.
This rematch comes way too close to the first outing, and there was a clear technical, power, and output advantage for the champion, which is difficult to ignore just one year later when making boxing predictions.
There were fireworks last time these two met 💥#NavarreteValdez2 | DEC 7 | @ESPN pic.twitter.com/B0QtoneLAr
— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) November 10, 2024
The boxing lines are juiced in favor of Navarette, and rightfully so, as we shouldn’t be surprised if a replica of the first fight plays out due to the risks Valdez would need to take to see his hand raised. Expect Navarette to be the cleaner, higher-output technician once again, but also bank on Valdez’s toughness, taking this to the scorecards where the champion’s decision prop sits at a tidy plus-money price for boxing picks.
My Best Boxing Bet: Navarette by Decision +110
Odds and information are accurate at the time of writing. Please check with official sources for the latest updates before placing any bets.
Question of the Day
Who’s fighting on the undercard of Navarette vs. Valdez 2?
- Rafael Espinoza vs. Robeisy Ramirez [WBO featherweight title bout]
- Lindolfo Delgado vs. Jackson Marinez [140lb bout]
- Emiliano Vargas vs. Alan Ayala [140lb bout]
- Giovani Santillan vs. Fredrick Lawson [147lb bout]
- Albert Gonzalez vs. Gerardo Antonio Perez [130lb bout]
- Steven Navarro vs. Gabriel Bernardi [115lb bout]
- Demier Zamora vs. Roman Ruben Reynoso [135lb bout]
- Ant Barrera Jr. vs. Juan Medina [147lb bout]
- Richard Torrez Jr. vs. Issac Munoz [heavyweight bout]
