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Nicolson vs. Mahfoud: Analysis, Boxing Odds and Betting Preview

Skye Nicolson and Sarah Mahfoud will compete in a 10-round featherweight contest for the vacant WBC Female World championship at the Fontainebleau in Las Vegas, USA, on Saturday, April 6.

Nicolson and Mahfoud are set to trade leather, and with that in mind, I’m here to find the best Las Vegas boxing odds for this highly contested bout.

Nicolson vs. Mahfoud: Analysis, Boxing Odds and Betting Preview
Nicolson vs. Mahfoud: Analysis, Boxing Odds and Betting Preview


Nicolson vs Mahfoud Event Information

  • Date & Time: Saturday, April. 6, 2024 – 07:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Fontainebleau, Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Promotion: Matchroom Boxing
  • Scheduled Bouts: 7
  • Nicolson vs. Mahfoud Live Stream: Box Live
  • Main Event Bout: Richardson Hitchins vs. Gustavo Lemos
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Diego Pacheco s. Shawn McCalman
  • Moneyline Probability: Nicolson – 90.9% (-1000) Mahfoud – 14.3% (+600)


Nicolson vs Mahfoud Betting Odds

Nicolson vs Mahfoud: Fighter Previews

Skye Nicholson

Nicolson, an undefeated Australian boxer with a record of 9-0 and one knockout, has already achieved recognition for her country in amateur boxing. She won a gold medal at the Commonwealth Games held in her home country in 2018. In her upcoming 10th professional fight, Nicolson has the opportunity to win a world title if she can defeat Mahfoud, a former world champion with a record of 14-1 and three knockouts.

The 28-year-old Nicolson, an overwhelming favorite at the sportsbook, is vying for the title following a humbling weekend for Australian fighters in world title matches. Tim Tszyu relinquished his crown in a brutal showdown against Sebastian Fundora in Las Vegas. At the same time, Michael Zerafa and Liam Wilson were defeated in their fights against Erislandy Lara and Oscar Valdez, respectively.

Nicolson aspires to get a significant bout against Amanda Serrano. She is aware that defeating the Danish opponent to secure her maiden world championship would bring the fight closer to reality and significantly boost the sport in her homeland.



Sarah Mahfoud

Sarah Mahfoud, with a record of 14 wins, one loss and three knockouts, aims to disrupt Nicolson’s coming-out party by defying boxing odds to become a featherweight champion for the second time.

Mahfoud, 34, is an experienced Danish competitor who obtained the IBF title after being promoted from interim champion. She effectively defended her championship against Nina Meinke in April 2022 but ultimately lost to Amanda Serrano in Manchester, England, in September 2022.

Since the defeat, Mahfoud has achieved three consecutive victories, obtaining the WBC Silver championship in March 2023 and then defending it in October with an eight-round triumph.



Nicolson vs. Mahfoud: Tale of the Tape

Pro Record
Win/Loss (Last 5)
WBC (Interim) World (Featherweight)
Championship Titles
133 days 
182 days 
2 years 
7 years 


Nicolson vs. Mahfoud: Main Event Breakdown & Analysis

With just two years of professional experience, Nicolson has shot through the rankings and become a mainstay in the women’s welterweight division. She’s brought her amateur style straight into the pros with excellent fundamentals. She’s a consistent mover who boasts a rhythmic style that punishes her opponents from the outside at will.

If Nicolson’s opponents do not crowd her or cut her angles, they’ll be a punching bag all night as she’s difficult to hit and extremely sharp with her footwork and precise jab.

Behind a 90% win rate, with her only career loss coming against the formidable Amanda Serrano, Mahfoud will certainly own a level of confidence to match her experience heading into Saturday’s bout. On paper, she will be Nicolson’s toughest test, but having faced Serrano, we can’t say the same for the Dane.

From a defensive standpoint, Mahfoud isn’t great. Her durability is great, but she’s very hittable, as evidenced when Serrano went to town for 10 rounds. In addition, her most recent bout came against 47-year-old Marcela Eliana Acuna.

In contrast, Mahfoud now faces a young, fast, and promising prospect. She must overwhelm Nicolson to find any success, but ultimately, it’s a difficult ask, as evidenced by the current Las Vegas odds.


Best Boxing Betting Pick: Nicolson To Win By Decision [-600]


Lacking physicality and the ability to fight on the inside, I can’t envision Mahfoud cutting the ring off and causing Nicolson any cause for concern. Don’t expect a brawl or a finish. Power and a slugging style aren’t present for either of these ladies, and in a 10-round technical game, it becomes Nicolson’s fight to lose.

Due to the eye-watering juice of -1000, Nicolson’s moneyline isn’t the most playable line from a betting standpoint. However, for boxing fight bets this weekend, we can boost that number slightly by backing the Aussie to have her hand raised via unanimous decision.


  • Nicolson is undefeated as a pro
  • Mahfoud will be six years the senior of Nicolson
  • Nicolson owns a 90.9% implied probability of winning versus Mahfoud




Questions of the Day

What is the best bet for the Nicolson vs Mahfoud title bout?

Take Nicolson at -600 to win by decision

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