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Sanchez vs Espinoza: Betting Breakdown + Where to Watch!

The pride of the Mexican flag isn’t the sole factor hanging in the balance of this week’s most intriguing boxing main event, as Rafael Espinoza defends his WBO World Featherweight championship versus a fellow countryman and pugilist savage, Sergio “Chirino” Sanchez.

This weekend, the boxing world’s attention will be on Sin City, where an all-Mexican war for championship gold is set to unfold. The current boxing odds may not leave much to the imagination, but join us as we delve into this highly anticipated bout and the betting markets surrounding it, all set against the backdrop of the vibrant Las Vegas atmosphere.

Sanchez vs Espinoza: Betting Breakdown + Where to Watch!
Referee Jay Nady | Jed Jacobsohn / Getty Images North America / Getty Images via AFP


Espinoza vs Sanchez Event Information

  • Date & Time: Saturday, June. 22, 2024 – 07:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Fontainebleau, Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Promotion: Top Rank
  • Scheduled Bouts: 8
  • Espinoza vs Sanchez Live Stream: Box Live
  • Main Event Bout: Rafael Espinoza vs. Sergio Sanchez
  • Co-Main Event Bout: Andres Cortes vs. Abraham Nova


Espinoza vs Sanchez Betting Odds


Rafael Espinoza: From Underdog to Top Dawg!

Seven months ago, the name Rafael Espinoza didn’t ring a bell for many boxing purists. He was just another mandatory challenger, expected to succumb to the reigning champ, Robiesy Ramirez. But, inside the Charles F. Dodge City Center, Pembroke Pines, Florida, a new chapter in boxing history was written. Espinoza, the underdog, defied the odds of +600 and emerged victorious, marking it as “The Ring Magazine Upset of The Year.”

However, on that fateful night inside the Charles F. Dodge City Center, Pembroke Pines, Florida, an underdog story was born as Mexico birthed another rising star. Espinoza defeated Ramirez via a majority decision to disprove a +500 betting line attached to his name, which was later dubbed “The Ring Magazine Upset of The Year.”

Six months have passed, and “El Divino” is now on the opposite end of the spectrum, preparing to make his first title defense, with the sportsbook notably placing him as a heavy -800 betting favorite, as he’ll need to take out a fellow Mexican slugger in Chirino to live up the win probability aligned with his name.


Chirino’s Formidable 13-Fight Win Streak

In step the challenger, whom, much like his weekend adversary, is being completely overlooked by the oddsmakers in his inaugural world title bout, despite the dominant performances he’s delivered on the Mexican regional scene.

Not since 2018 has Chirino lost a competitive pro bout, and in the six years since then, he’s amassed a 13-fight win streak, with each of those contests ending via knockout! The 29-year-old, for the most part, has been competing nationally as a pro. Still, his amateur days took him around the world, and he notably delivered a slew of top-tier performances in the World Series of Boxing prior to stepping up into the pro leagues in 2016.


Espinoza Embodies the Challenger Role

In a recent interview with The Ring, Rafael Espinoza revealed how he thinks of himself as the challenger to keep the championship around his waist:

I am conscious of that [Being the champion], and I take it with a lot of responsibility. I still think of myself as the challenger because I want to keep that belt.”


Espinoza vs Sanchez: The Tale of the Tape

Pro Record
Win/Loss (Last 5)
WBO World Featherweight
Championship Titles
195 days
126 days
11 years
7 years


Espinoza and Chirino Skillset Comparison

Espinoza’s pace, durability, and work rate were three main factors that led him to cause the upset of 2023 against Ramirez. He was able to withstand a great showing from the former champ early on, but eventually, as we’ve seen many times in the past, a relentless work-rate behind a beautiful jab at range dictates a lot of his contests.

I love that Espinoza can fight from a distance, walk his opponents down, and fight on the inside. He isn’t stuck favoring one position, and his counterpunching is on point, but his most notable attributes are his precise accuracy and timing.

Twenty knockouts from 24 pro career wins are also evidence of his finishing capability, and should the opportunity present itself; he won’t hesitate to land those fight-ending kill shots.

Fortunately for “Chirino” Sanchez, smooth footwork has allowed him to navigate the ring and execute perfect game plans in recent contests, including two fights going the distance with Sebastian Tinoco and Ally Mwerangi, respectively. While I didn’t see enough output and power that could cause Espinoza many problems from those fights, an ability to take shots and utilize great footwork to avoid compromising situations was notable.

  • Chirino has gone the distance in 3 of his previous 6 pro bouts
  • Espinoza won his previous fight by majority decision
  • Espinoza is undefeated as a pro boxer


How to Bet Espinoza vs Chirino?

While Espinoza’s made his jab a serious weapon, the hooks and uppercuts he delivers come from insane angles and, in combination with the high tempo that remains throughout every round, it’s going to be a difficult night for Chirino to find enough moments of success that count.

Chirino’s footwork is one positive aspect, and I believe he can outwork Espinoza in this area. Unfortunately, it won’t be enough to dethrone “El Divino.”

When taking a closer look at the boxing betting odds, the moneyline price of Espinoza at -800 is too juiced. However, with the pride of a nation, don’t expect either fighter to rest on their laurels, and cautious game plans should take this bout to the judge’s scorecards.

When all is said and done, backing Espinoza to win by decision feels like the safest wagering approach to take. He’ll land the cleaner, more damaging shots, but Chirino’s noteworthy footwork will keep him out of the knockout danger zone.



Question Of The Day

Who is the better knockout artist between Espinoza and Chirino?

Espinoza has won 20 of his 24 pro bouts via KO/TKO, while Chirino has seen 13 of his 22 career wins end by knockout. Therefore, Espinoza presents a more threatening KO threat than Chirino ahead of their WBO featherweight championship clash this weekend.

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