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Santiago vs Nakatani: Vegas Boxing Odds and Betting Preview

In a 12-round bantamweight contest set to take place on Saturday, February 24, at the Ryogoku Kokugikan National Sumo Arena in Tokyo, Japan, Alexandro “Peque” Santiago will square off against Junto Nakatani for the WBC World championship.

With a triple-header of championship bouts lined up in Japan, Nakatani and Santiago will headline this special event and I’m here to assist you with boxing bets online for this highly anticipated showcase scrap.

Santiago vs Nakatani: Vegas Boxing Odds and Betting Preview


Santiago vs Nakatani Event Information

1. Date/Time: Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024 – 04:00 a.m. ET
2. Location: Kokugikan, Tokyo, Japan
3. Promotion: Teiken Promotions
4. Scheduled Bouts: 4
5. Santiago vs Nakatani Live Stream: Box Live
6. Main Event Bout: Alejandro Santiago vs Junto Nakatani
7. Co-Main Event: Takuma Inoue vs. Jerwin Ancajas
8. Moneyline Probability: Nakatani – 90% (-900) Santiago – 15.4% (+550)


Santiago vs Nakatani Betting Odds


Santiago vs Nakatani: Fighter Previews

Alexandro “Peque” Santiago

Boxing betting fans saw Santiago suffer a majority decision loss to Gary Antonio Russell in Las Vegas, NV, a little under three years ago. He then, impressively, achieved three consecutive wins, leading up to a WBC title bout against Nonito Donaire last July.

Santiago, considered a significant underdog by oddsmakers, achieved a unanimous decision to win the vacant WBC championship and secure his fourth straight victory. Now, instead of opting for a voluntary defense, he decided to fly to Japan to fight one of the top Japanese fighters, excluding Naoya Inoue.


Junto Nakatani

Nakatani has had a successful three years, winning both the WBO flyweight championship and the WBO super flyweight belt. He has competed against opponents like Andrew Moloney, Angel ‘Tito’ Acosta, Andrew Moloney, and Argi Cortes, achieving wins that were more effortless than expected by analysts like me.

Entering 2024, Nakatani is emerging as a top fighter and is unquestionably the second most skilled among Japanese fighters after Inoue. However, this ranking might receive even more debate as being higher should he win a championship in a third weight class on Saturday.



Santiago vs Nakatani: The Tale of the Tape

Pro Record
Win/Loss (Last 5)
WBC World (Bantamweight)
Championship Titles
210 days
159 days
11 years
8 years


Santiago vs Nakatani: Main Event Breakdown & Analysis

On Saturday, Santiago must maintain a close distance and hope to land that left punch in response to Nakatani’s right uppercut. If he cannot remain on the inside throughout the night, Nakatani will continue to piece him up from a distance. A suffocating style would suit him well, but the footwork and power from Nakatani will make life difficult, in addition to significant size discrepancies in both height and reach.

Expect Nakatani to create a gap early on and use his jab to set up a body assault. I don’t believe Santiago -or most fighters at bantamweight – are resilient enough to endure continuous physical punishment when the Japanese star gets into a groove, as the champion will likely succumb to a TKO in the later rounds. Making his KO/TKO prop a great option at the sportsbook.


The Best Betting Pick: Nakatani By KO/TKO (-105)

I understand that bettors will be cautious about the KO/TKO boxing prop bet because Santiago has never been stopped inside the distance. However, he’s also never faced the punching power and confidence of somebody like Nakatani.

Even though Santiago has never faced a knockout loss, if there’s a first time for that, it’ll be this weekend. Before going after the other world champions, the challenger’s goal will be to establish a strong showing in this weight class and assert his dominance. We all know that Nakatani’s knockout power is unmatched; look at his victory against Andrew Moloney for Knockout of the Year.

It’s not completely out of the question that a resilient Mexican fighter like Santiago manages to stay the course. But I can’t help but think that Nakatani will end the fight with a late stoppage to become a titleholder in yet another division.


1. Nakatani has won champions in two weight classes
2. Nakatani is undefeated, with a 73% knockout rate
3. Santiago gives up 5 inches in height


WBC Bantamweight Title Main Event: The Crystal Ball Picks

In this orthodox v southpaw matchup, a quick rub of my crystal ball reveals that, as a disciplined combatant, Nakatani is quickly rising through the ranks, and we should anticipate a late stoppage as he uses a mix of right jabs and left hooks to the body to overcome Santiago in the tenth round.

Potential Boxing Bets from a Nakatani Round 10 KO:

1. Nakatani Moneyline [-900]

2. Under 10 ½ Rounds [+100]

3. Nakatani By KO/TKO [-105]

4. Nakatani To Win In Rounds 9-12 [+300]

5. Fight To Go The Distance/No [-120]


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