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Back Duke to Rout Vermont in March Madness Opener

It might be hard to top what happened the last time Vermont squared off with Duke, with the favored Blue Devils escaping with a one-point win back in 2013. The NCAAB odds favor Duke to advance to the second round of the March Madness bracket.

Jabari Parker had 26 points as Duke held off Vermont 91-90 in the previous meeting. The game went over the 151½-total with 5:36 left to play.

Back Duke to Rout Vermont in March Madness Opener 03-22-2024
Back Duke to Rout Vermont in March Madness Opener 03-22-2024

Duke is listed as a 12-point favorite on Friday according to the NCAAB expert picks.

Duke is tied for ninth at +3500 in the odds to win March Madness. Vermont is well back at +50000 in the championship odds.

Keep on reading for more on the matchup between Vermont and Duke.

Game Information

  • Game: Vermont (28-6) vs Duke (24-8)
  • Date/Time: Friday, March 22, 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
  • Vermont vs Duke Live Stream: TBS.com

 

Duke is 17-6 in neutral-site games over the last three seasons with the Blue Devils covering outright in 13 of those contests. Vermont is 5-7 in its last 12 games on neutral courts with the Catamount 4-8 in those matchups. Vermont lost four of its top six scorers from last year’s tournament team so will a team led by transfers help to reverse that trend?

 

The Blue Devils are priced at -710 to win the game outright with Vermont at +500 on the moneyline.

 

Vermont vs Duke Odds and Spreads


 

  • Duke is 24-6 as the favorite this season.
  • Vermont has split its six games when listed as the underdog.
  • The Blue Devils and Catamounts are a combined 4-2 against the spread on neutral courts.
  • Duke has failed to cover in each of its three neutral-site games.
  • Duke is 8-3 against the Las Vegas College Basketball odds in its last games.
  • The total has gone under in 13 of Vermont’s last 15 games.
  • The Catamounts have covered in just one of their last five games.
  • Nine of Duke’s last 11 games landed under the total.

 

ATS Pick: Duke -12

Duke has won its last 11 games as a double-digit favorite and is a solid bet to continue that trend. Falling short in the ACC tournament should give Duke a little more motivation but, more importantly, it has given time for some of the players slowed by injury to get time to recover.

Vermont has lost its last eight games to ACC teams while Duke has won its last seven games when facing America East teams. The Catamounts have covered in each of their last two NCAA Tournament games and only lost by four points to an Arkansas team featuring multiple NBA players in the 2023 March Madness game.

Matt Veretto, Vermont’s fourth-leading scorer, hasn’t played since late February.

Caleb Foster, one of six Duke players to average at least 25 minutes per game, is out.

 

 

Over/Under Pick: Under 132

The total has gone under in 10 of Duke’s last 12 games as the favorite. Keep that in mind when looking at the best college basketball bets today.

The total went under in six of Duke’s last seven games while each of Vermont’s last five games in national postseason tournaments went over the total.

The 132-point total is the lowest for a Duke game in the NCAA Tournament since 2018. This doesn’t figure to be one of the highest scoring games in the first round but it could creep over the 132-point mark.

 

 

Player Prop Pick: Duke’s Kyle Filipowski to score 18+ Points (+114)

Filipowski had 28 points in the loss to North Carolina State in the ACC tournament. Don’t expect him to hit that mark again but the +114 odds for him to have at least 18 points are worth considering.

 

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Prediction

Duke 75, Vermont 60

 

 

Questions Of The Day

Which team has a better record against the spread going into the matchup between Vermont and Duke?


Duke is second among ACC teams with a record of 18-13-1 against the spread this season. North Carolina State is just 14-18 ATS.

What is a player prop worth considering for the Vermont Catamounts?


Ileri Ayo-Faleye averaged 12.3 points in the three games during the America East tournament so take a look at the +122 odds for the junior forward to score at least 10 points against Duke.

 

The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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