Creighton ATS Pick vs Providence in Big East

Providence vs Creighton Game Information

• Game: Providence (20-12, 10-10 Big East) vs Creighton (23-8, 14-6)
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY.
• Date/Time: Thursday, March 14, 7 p.m. ET
• Providence vs Creighton Live Stream: TBS.com

Creighton ended its regular season on a hot streak, winning seven of its last eight, including impressive wins against top dogs UConn and Marquette. Providence, on the other hand, entered postseason play losing three of four, though it rebounded with a convincing win against Georgetown on Wednesday night. But are they the NCAA best bet to cover the college basketball spread?

Providence vs Creighton Odds and Spreads

Providence vs Creighton Betting Trends

• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Providence’s last 5 games.
• Providence are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against Creighton.
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Providence’s last 6 games against an opponent in the Big East Conference.
• The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Providence’s last 6 games played in March.
• Providence are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played on a Thursday.
• Providence are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when playing as the underdog.

Providence vs Creighton Over/Under Pick: Under 142

Creighton’s strength amidst its hot streak has been its offense. Its 80 points per game is just outside the top-30 in the country and second-best in the Big East. Forward Baylor Scheierman, named first-team All-Big East, leads the team in scoring and rebounding and has scored 18 or more points in each of the last three games. Point guard Trey Alexander has been a strong floor general, averaging over 17 points and nearly five assists. But he has company as both Scheierman and Steven Ashworth share the ball well, averaging over four dishes. While Ryan Kalkbrenner was named Big East Defensive Player of the Year for the third straight year, he is still a force on offense, reaching double figures in all but two games on the season.

Breaking: Creighton’s Ryan Kalkbrenner is the Big East Defensive Player of the Year. Kalkbrenner joins Patrick Ewing and Alonzo Mourning as the only players to ever win the honor three times.

— John Fanta (@John_Fanta) March 11, 2024

Providence has not been as strong offensively, averaging nearly eight fewer points than the Bluejays. In its last three losses, they failed to eclipse 70 points. Devin Carter joined Scheierman on the conference first-team, averaging just under 20 points while snagging over eight boards per game. Forward Josh Oduro averages over 15 and is coming off a 20-point outing vs Georgetown.

The two previous matchups between the two teams does not aid much in making your NCAA basketball picks as they combined to muster just 129 in the first meeting, well under the allotted 142 college basketball over/under, and then stormed past that number when the Bluejays defeated the Friars 91-87 in overtime. Which side will they lean to this time? We think it will air more toward the first outcome as Creighton has been much improved on defense in the last eight games since the Providence overtime matchup, including holding UConn to a lowly 66 points. We think it will be close, but we believe the total will stay under 142 points.

Providence vs Creighton ATS Pick: Creighton -8½

We believe Creighton’s hot streak will continue, behind its considerable offensive depth, headlined by Scheierman and Kalkbrenner, setting up a potential rubber match against Marquette in the semifinals. This will greatly put Providence’s March Madness odds in flux and will leave them sweating entering Selection Sunday. But, perhaps more importantly, we believe the Bluejays will take the win while covering the college basketball spread in the process. They have done so seven times in their last 10 games and had five straight wins by double-digits before barely beating Villanova to end the regular season. But we believe they will get back on track in that respect and show that they might be the biggest threat to take down UConn for the Big East crown.

Providence vs Creighton Prediction

Creighton 74, Providence 66

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