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Duke to Win, NC State to Cover All-ACC Elite Eight Showdown

Duke is coming off a win over top-seeded Houston while North Carolina State eliminated No. 2 seed Marquette in the Sweet 16. The college basketball latest lines list Duke as a favorite against North Carolina State for the 55th matchup in a row.

This will be the third meeting this month between North Carolina State and Duke with the Blue Devils winning 79-64 in the regular season as the 6½-point favorite on the road while NC State returned the favor 74-69 as an 11-point underdog in the ACC tournament. Duke is 5-1 in the last six games in March against the Wolfpack but just 3-3 against the spread. Each of the last four games went under the total.

Duke to Win, NC State to Cover All-ACC Elite Eight Showdown
Jeremy Roach #3 of the Duke Blue Devils | Carmen Mandato/Getty Images/AFP

The college basketball betting lines list the Blue Devils as a 6½-point favorite as Duke goes after its fourth Final Four appearance in the last 13 March Madness brackets.

When looking at college basketball futures odds, Duke is tied for fourth at +700 among the Elite Eight teams in the odds to win March Madness with North Carolina State coming in at +3000 in the championship odds.


North Carolina State vs Duke Game Information

  • Game: North Carolina State (25-14) vs Duke (27-8)
  • Date/Time: Sunday, March 31, 5:05 p.m. ET
  • Location: American Airlines Arena, Dallas, TX
  • North Carolina State vs Duke Live Stream: TBS.com


Duke has won 20 of its last 26 neutral-site games with the Blue Devils covering 16 of those games. North Carolina State is 14-9 outright in neutral-site contests over the last three seasons with a 12-11 record against the spread.

Duke is priced at -285 to win the game outright while North Carolina State is +235 in our sportsbook odds.

The Wolfpack and Blue Devils meet on Sunday, March 31, at American Airlines Arena in Dallas. You can watch the game on CBS at 5:05 p.m. ET.


North Carolina State vs Duke Odds and Spreads


  • Duke is 26-6 outright as the favorite.
  • North Carolina State is 8-10 as the underdog this season.
  • Duke is 11-3 ATS over the last 14 games.
  • The Wolfpack has covered against the Las Vegas odds in seven of 11 games on neutral courts.
  • Duke has covered in five of its six neutral-site games.
  • North Carolina State is 8-2-1 against the spread in neutral-site matchups.
  • The total has gone over in 10 of North Carolina State’s last 16 games.
  • NC State is 6-1 ATS over the last seven games.


North Carolina State vs Duke Over/Under Pick: Under 143 (-110)

Recent games between the ACC rivals have gone under the total and that could happen again with a spot in the Final Four on the line.

Eleven of Duke’s last 14 games went under the total. That is something to consider for March Madness over/under predictions.

NC State is 57th in defensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy college basketball ratings. Try telling that to the teams that have faced the Wolfpack during the eight games North Carolina State played in the ACC and NCAA tournaments. Duke is 13th in defensive efficiency.



North Carolina State vs Duke ATS Pick: North Carolina State +6½ (-110)

Perhaps the Cinderella run will end for North Carolina State as it took a run to the ACC tournament title just for the Wolfpack to get into the NCAA tournament but don’t be surprised to see the Wolfpack hang around in this matchup.

The Wolfpack has covered in each of the last six games when listed as the underdog.

Guards LJ Thomas and Dennis Parker are questionable for North Carolina State. Caleb Foster is out for the season for the Blue Devils.



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North Carolina State vs Duke Prediction

Duke 72, North Carolina State 68



Questions Of The Day

Which team has a better record against the spread heading into the Elite Eight matchup between North Carolina State and Duke?

Duke is second among ACC teams with a 21-13-1 record against the spread compared to a 19-19-1 mark for North Carolina State.

What is a player prop to consider for North Carolina State in the South Regional Final?

DJ Horne had 18 points against Duke in the ACC tournament and is averaging 15.3 points per game during the NCAA tournament.

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