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Expert Bracket Predictions: Long Beach State to Cover vs Arizona

The March Madness odds weren’t good for Long Beach State early last week, so the school decided to part ways with coach Dan Monson at the end of the season. But that season is still going after the Beach’s run through the Big West Conference tournament to earn an NCAA berth. That stay is going to be short, though, as Long Beach State must take on second-seeded Arizona in the first round of the West Region on Thursday.


Expert Bracket Predictions: Long Beach State to Cover vs Arizona
Expert Bracket Predictions: Long Beach State to Cover vs Arizona

The Wildcats are one of the teams that many expert bracket predictions have making the Final Four, and they’re looking to rebound from a disappointing showing in the Pac-12 tournament last week. Arizona should have no trouble moving to the next round of the Big Dance, but we like the 15th-seeded Beach to at least keep it respectable all the way to the end.


Long Beach State vs Arizona Game Information

  • Game: Long Beach State (21-14) vs Arizona (25-8)
  • Date/Time: Thursday, March 21, 2 p.m. ET
  • Location: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
  • Long Beach State vs Arizona Stream: TBS.com


These teams have faced each other seven times over the years, though all were Wildcats wins on Arizona’s home floor, with the most recent being in November 2019. The NCAA Basketball lines for this game are as one-sided as you’ll find for a postseason game, with Arizona favored by 20½ points. The over/under for the contest has been set at 163 points.


Long Beach State vs Arizona Odds and Spreads


  • Arizona is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four games following an ATS loss.
  • Long Beach State is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven neutral-site games as an underdog.
  • The under is 4-1-2 in the Wildcats’ last seven NCAA Tournament games.
  • The over is 5-0 in the Beach’s last five games as an underdog of at least 13 points.
  • Arizona is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 13 points or more.
  • Long Beach State is 16-17-0 ATS this season.
  • The Wildcats are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight-up loss.
  • The Beach is 6-6 as an underdog in 2023-24.


Long Beach State vs Arizona Over/Under Pick: Under 163

Arizona has been one of the most explosive offensive teams in the country this season, averaging 87.9 points to rank third nationally. But, the Wildcats have lost two of their last three contests, scoring 59 and 65 points in the losses and just 70 in the win over that span. The pressure only goes up in the Big Dance, so the offense of the Wildcats may not be at its best in this one.

The Beach can get their offense going as well, but they’re going to have a hard time with the length of the Wildcats in this one. Junior forward Lassina Traore is 6-foot-10 and averages a double-double of 12.1 points and 10.4 rebounds, but he must avoid foul trouble against the aggressive Arizona front line. We don’t think he can, so our college basketball picks include taking the under in this one.



Long Beach State vs Arizona ATS Pick: Long Beach State +20½

If last week proved anything, it’s that Long Beach State’s team is not going to give up, no matter what the odds. Arizona is going to come out firing and should win this one easily, but that doesn’t mean it will be a cakewalk to the end. The Beach will keep fighting and keep this one within 20 points.

Arizona’s best offensive weapon is guard Caleb Love (18.1 points per game), who can take over a game with his perimeter shooting. Love has struggled lately, though, scoring a total of 19 points in the Wildcats’ last three contests. If he can’t get going, this game could be even closer coming down the stretch.



Long Beach State vs Arizona Prop Pick: Marcus Tsohonis over 16½ points (-110)

As the Beach try to keep pace with the Wildcats, it will be senior guard Marcus Tsohonis doing much of the shooting. Tsohonis averaged 17.8 points this season and he’s been on a tear lately, scoring 20 or more points in three of his last five outings, including 25 points in the Big West tournament title game. He’ll keep firing no matter what the deficit is in this one, so make sure to include his over prop when you bet online.

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Long Beach State vs Arizona Prediction

Arizona 84, Long Beach State 68



Questions of the Day

Have Long Beach State and Arizona faced each other before?

This is the eighth meeting between these schools on the hardwood, with Arizona winning all seven of the previous meetings.

Who does the winner of the Long Beach State vs Arizona game face next?

The winner of this contest advances to the second round of the West Region, where they’ll face the winner of the first-round game between Dayton and Nevada on Saturday.


The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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