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Go with ACC Title Game To Finish Over Total

There are more than a few teams on the bubble when it comes to making it into the NCAA tournament pulling for North Carolina to end the surprising run by North Carolina State at the ACC tournament so the Wolfpack don’t steal a bid. The Tar Heels are double-digit favorites to win the ACC tournament for the first time since 2016 according to the NCAAB picks against the spread.

North Carolina won the only meeting this season 79-70 earlier this month but the Wolfpack covered as an 11-point underdog. It was the first time the teams met in March since 2012. The Tar Heels have won 11 of the last 13 meetings and covered 10 of those games.

Go with ACC Title Game To Finish Over Total
Go with ACC Title Game To Finish Over Total

North Carolina is listed by the college basketball spread as a 10-point favorite versus a North Carolina State playing in the ACC tournament final for the first time since 2007.

When it comes to the odds of winning March Madness, North Carolina is fifth at +1200 in the odds of winning the national title with the Tar Heels likely earning a No. 1 seed in the March Madness bracket with a win. NC State needs to win the game to secure a spot in the NCAA tournament.

Keep on reading for more on the matchup between North Carolina State and North Carolina as the rivals will meet in the ACC tournament title game for the first time since 2007.


North Carolina State vs North Carolina Game Information

  • Game: North Carolina State 21-14 vs North Carolina 27-6
  • Date/Time: Saturday, March 16, 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
  • North Carolina State vs North Carolina Live Stream: TBS.com


North Carolina is 15-11 over its last 26 games on neutral courts and covered against the Vegas college basketball odds in 13 of those games. North Carolina State has won 10 of the last 19 matchups on neutral courts and is 9-10 ATS in those contests.




North Carolina is 3-6 in its last nine ACC tournament finals. North Carolina State hasn’t won the ACC tournament since 1987 and has lost in the championship game four times in a row.

North Carolina is priced at -475 to win the game outright with the North Carolina State at +360 on the Moneyline.

North Carolina State vs North Carolina Odds and Spreads

  • North Carolina has covered against the Las Vegas odds in 10 of the last 13 games against the Wolfpack.
  • North Carolina is 25-5 as a favorite.
  • Seven of North Carolina’s eight neutral-site games finished over the total.
  • Four of the six neutral-site games played by North Carolina State went over the total.
  • The Tar Heels are 6-2 against the spread over the last eight games.
  • North Carolina State is 4-10 when listed as the underdog.
  • The total went under in five of North Carolina’s last seven contests.
  • Eight of North Carolina State’s last 12 games went over the total.


North Carolina State vs North Carolina ATS Pick: North Carolina State +10 (-110)

After dropping its last four games of the regular season to finish 10th in the ACC, few people expected North Carolina State to be in the ACC title game. The Wolfpack eliminated No. 2 seed Duke and No. 3 seed Virginia but are playing for the fifth time in as many days.

North Carolina takes an eight-game winning streak into this matchup and that includes a nine-point win over NC State. The clock figures to strike midnight for the surprising Wolfpack who rely on just seven players. Perhaps NC State can cover as a nine-point underdog but North Carolina should be motivated to seal the deal in this game.

Guard Dennis Parker is questionable for the Wolfpack.

North Carolina State vs North Carolina Over/Under Pick: Over 144½ (-110)

The point totals have been heading in the wrong direction for North Carolina State in the tournament, going from 94 to 83 to 74, finally 73 in the overtime win against Virginia. North Carolina is putting up 82 points per game in the tournament. Keep that in mind when looking at the best college basketball bets today.

While recent ACC tournament finals have struggled to approach 140 points, look for this game to land over the 144½-point total.

North Carolina State vs North Carolina Player Prop Pick: R.J. Davis to score 15+ Points (-114)

Davis has 43 points over the last two games and in the last two seasons is averaging 21.3 points in the ACC tournament. He was pretty quiet with 14 points on 4 of 11 shooting the last time the Tar Heels met North Carolina State. Expect him to have a bigger impact this time.

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North Carolina State vs North Carolina Prediction

North Carolina 84, North Carolina State 77



Questions of the Day

Which team has a better record against the college basketball spread going into the ACC tournament championship game?

North Carolina is 19-14 against the spread this season and among ACC teams, only Pittsburgh has covered more frequently. North Carolina State is just 16-18-1 ATS.

What is a player prop to consider for the North Carolina State Wolfpack?

Mohammed Diarra has 42 rebounds over the last three games so keep an eye on the rebounding props going into the ACC final.

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