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Go With Alabama-UConn Semifinal To Land Over Total

Alabama is the next in line to try to slow down the UConn juggernaut as the Huskies have won each of their last five games by at least 16 points since being tested by St. John’s in the Big East tournament semifinals. The March Madness latest lines list defending champion UConn as the favorite in Saturday’s NCAA tournament semifinal.

This is the first NCAA tournament matchup between Alabama and UConn since 2004, when the Huskies won 87-71 as a nine-point favorite. The teams also met last season at the Phil Knight Invitational in Portland, Oregon. UConn won 82-67 as a two-point underdog with the game going over the 148-point total.

Go With Alabama-UConn Semifinal To Land Over Total
Go With Alabama-UConn Semifinal To Land Over Total

Saturday’s college basketball betting lines list the Huskies as a 12-point favorite.

When looking at college basketball futures odds, UConn is first at -200 in the odds to win March Madness with Alabama tied for third at +1600 in the championship odds.

Game Information

  • Game: Alabama (25-11) vs UConns (35-3)
  • Date/Time: April 6, 8:49 p.m. ET
  • Location: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Ariz.
  • Alabama vs UConn Live Stream: TBS.com

 

UConn has won 25 of its last 29 neutral-site games and has covered against the spread in 23 of those matchups.

Alabama is 13-13-1 outright in its last 27 games on a neutral court with the Crimson Tide covering in 16 of those contests.


UConn is priced at -750 to win the game outright while the Crimson Tide is +520 in our sportsbook odds.

The Crimson Tide and Huskies meet on Saturday, April 6, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz. You can watch the game on TBS starting at approximately 8:49 p.m. ET.

 

Alabama vs UConn Odds and Spreads

 

  • The last two games between Alabama and UConn finished over the total.
  • UConn is 35-2 outright as a favorite this season.
  • Alabama has dropped seven of its nine games as the underdog.
  • UConn has covered in 10 of its 11 neutral-site games.
  • Eight of Alabama’s 10 games on neutral courts finished over the total.
  • UConn is 5-0 against the Las Vegas odds in its last five games.
  • The total has gone over in 13 of Alabama’s last 15 games.
  • Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last five games.

 

Over/Under Pick: Over 160

The total went over in each of Alabama’s six games as the underdog as the Crimson Tide love to push the pace.

UConn is ranked first and Alabama comes in third in adjusted offensive efficiency according to the Pomeroy college basketball rankings so there could be plenty of points scored in this matchup. UConn, though, will try to limit the possessions for Alabama and that is something to consider for March Madness over/under predictions.

 

 

ATS Pick: UConn -12

Picking against UConn in this year’s tournament has not been a successful venture as the Huskies eventually wear down the opposition. Alabama’s 3-7 record against ranked teams is a bit concerning but in six of those games, Alabama either won outright or lost by single digits.

UConn has won its last 11 games as a favorite and is 6-0 ATS in its last six games played in April. Keep that in mind when making Final Four predictions.

Alabama has lost eight of its last nine games against Big East teams while UConn has five wins in a row versus SEC programs.

Guard Latrell Wrightsell is questionable for Alabama and guard Davin Cosby is out.

Alabama is an elite offensive team but the defense is clearly not at the same level so that could come into play in this matchup as the reigning national champions.

 

Player Prop Pick: UConn’s Tristen Newton to have 7+ Assists (+114)

Newton is averaging 6.1 assists per game. He can get to seven against Alabama, especially if UConn makes it a point to keep the ball out of Alabama’s hands as much as possible.

Take a chance on the senior guard at +114 to have at least seven assists.

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Prediction

UConn 88, Alabama 73

 

 

Questions Of The Day

Which team has a better record against the spread in the Final Four matchup between Alabama and UConn?


UConn is 26-12 against the spread this season with Tennessee 21-15 ATS heading into this second of Saturday’s national semifinals.

What were the odds of winning the national title for Alabama and UConn heading into the 2023-24 season?


UConn was tied for second at +900 in the odds of winning March Madness when the season began compared to +2500 for Alabama.

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