Go with NC State to Cover, Undefeated South Carolina to Win

The most recent meeting was on Nov. 9, 2021, when the Gamecocks won 66-57.

The women’s college basketball betting line has South Carolina listed as the 12-point favorite against NC State.

NC State advanced to the Final Four for the first time since 1998 with wins over No. 2 seed Stanford and No. 1 seed Texas in the Portland 4 Regional. After a narrow escape against Indiana, South Carolina clinched a spot in a fourth consecutive Final Four with a 70-58 win over Oregon State as a 15½-point favorite in the Albany 1 Regional.

When looking at NCAAW futures odds, South Carolina is first at -200 with NC State fourth at +1400 in the odds of winning the NCAAW title.

Game Information

• Game: NC State (31-6) vs. South Carolina (36-0)
• Date/Time: April 5, 7:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse, Cleveland
• NC State vs South Carolina Live Stream: TBS.com

South Carolina is 9-0 against ranked teams with the Gamecocks winning 29 of their 36 games by at least 10 points. NC State is 9-3 against teams in the Associated Press Top 25 poll and 8-2 in games decided by single digits. That could factor into the NCAAW expert picks.

South Carolina is priced at -850 by the BetUS sportsbook to win the game outright with NC State at +435 on the Moneyline.

According to ESPN:

Chances to win the NCAA women’s basketball championship …

South Carolina 56.8%
Connecticut 25.5%
Iowa 13.0%
North Carolina State 4.7%

— Jeff Linder (@jtlinder) April 2, 2024

The Wolfpack and Gamecocks meet on Friday, April 5, at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse in Cleveland at about 7:15 p.m. ET. You can watch the game on ESPN.

NC State vs South Carolina Odds and Spreads

Betting Trends

• NC State lost its only previous Final Four game to Louisiana Tech in 1998.
• South Carolina is 4-2 in the Final Four and 2-2 in the national semifinal round.
• Five of South Carolina’s seven postseason games finished over the total
• NC State is 5-2 ATS over the last seven games.
• South Carolina has covered against the Las Vegas odds in one of its last seven games
• Four of NC State’s last seven games went under the total.
• NC State has won its last four games as the underdog.

Over/Under Pick: Under 139

South Carolina has limited three of its four opponents during the NCAA tournament to fewer than 60 points. That is something to consider for NCAAW over/under predictions.

In North Carolina State’s three ACC tournament games and in the March Madness opener, the total fell under 113 each time. The Wolfpack opened things up over the last three games with 79, 77, and 76 points. Hitting the 70-point mark against South Carolina will be no easy task so go with this game to finish under the total.

ATS Pick: North Carolina State +12

It has been an impressive postseason run for NC State, taking out former NCAA champions Tennessee, Stanford, and Texas. Even with junior guard Aziaha James averaging 24.3 points in the first four NCAA tournament games, taking down undefeated South Carolina is an entirely different challenge.

Don’t be surprised to see NC State hang around but go with South Carolina to win the game outright with 6-foot-7 Kamilla Cardoso leading an intimidating frontcourt and Te-Hina Paopao among the scoring threats from the perimeter. It doesn’t hurt that point guard Raven Johnson has 18 assists and only three turnovers in the first four NCAA tournament games.

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NC State vs South Carolina Prediction

South Carolina 73, NC State 64

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