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NCAA Midwest: Texas A&M vs Penn State Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Aggies Hope to Silence Lions’ Roar

The No. 7 against No. 10 seed matchups are some of the most difficult March Madness odds to weigh. The games are usually split with multiple 10 seeds winning in two of the last three tournaments. However, only one No. 10 won in 2022.

Per usual, the upcoming NCAA Tournament has several anticipated No. 7 vs. No. 10 clashes. No. 7 Texas A&M (25-9) against No. 10 Penn State (22-13) could be the best matchup of the four. The Nittany Lions are 5-1 outright and against the spread (ATS) in the last six while Texas A&M is 4-1 outright and ATS over the last five.

NCAA Midwest: Texas A&M vs Penn State Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks
NCAA Midwest: Texas A&M vs Penn State Prediction, Game Preview, Live Stream, Odds and Picks

Both teams come off losses in their respective conference tournament championship games. Let’s look at each team before making our online gambling picks.

Texas A&M Poised for Deep Run?

The Aggies finished 19th in the NCAA Net Rankings with seven quadrant-one wins and finished second in the SEC. Yet, Texas A&M ended up with a No. 7 seed, about two spots lower than expected. The Aggies will be angry, looking to prove a point on Thursday night.

Before Sunday’s loss against Alabama, Texas A&M covered in four straight games and only one opponent eclipsed 61 points. Guard Wade Taylor IV (16.5 points) has flourished, scoring 18 or more points in three of the last four. Second-leading scorer Tyrece “Boots” Radford (13.2 points) is averaging 15 points in the last four. The Aggies will lean on their defense, which ranks 18th in opponent shooting percentage, and their exceptional backcourt.

Texas A&M is a dark horse to make the Sweet 16 at its current level of play. According to college basketball odds, the Aggies are +225 to advance through the first two rounds.

Penn State Backcourt Looms Large

The Nittany Lions are another team you do not want to see in March Madness. Whoever wins this matchup could give No. 2 Texas a run for its money in the second round. Penn State is +450 to make the Sweet 16, per college basketball lines.

Like Texas A&M, PSU features a great backcourt, led by Jalen Pickett at 17.9 points, 7.3 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game – all of which lead the team. Seth Lundy (14.4 points) and Andrew Funk (12.1 points) round out the backcourt. The Nittany Lions’ top four scorers shoot 38% or better on 3-pointers, and the Aggies rank in the bottom third nationally with 8.1 allowed 3-pointers per game.

Rebounding looks like the biggest concern for Penn State. Texas A&M ranks sixth in offensive rebounding percentage, and the Lions are 73rd in defensive rebounding percentage and 278th in rebounds per game. The sportsbook has PSU at +140 on the moneyline.

Texas A&M vs Penn State Head-to-Head

Texas A&M is a perfect 4-0 against Penn State. The latest meeting was in 2017, which the Aggies covered with a 98-87 win.

Texas A&M vs Penn State Game Information

  • Game: No. 7 Texas A&M (25-9) vs. No. 10 Penn State (22-13)
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, IA
  • Day/Time: Thursday, March 16, 9:55 p.m. ET
  • Texas A&M vs Penn StateLive stream: TBS.com

Texas A&M vs Penn State Betting Lines


Texas A&M vs Penn State Picks and Prediction

NCAA basketball odds favor Texas A&M by three points. This spread could be too close to call. Both teams are trending in the right direction with great guard play. The Aggies feature the best defense, and more than 70% of teams with the better defensive efficiency have won in the first round over the last six tournaments. I am leaning toward Texas A&M on the moneyline.

Texas A&M is listed at -160 in our Las Vegas college basketball lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Aggies, you have a chance to win $63. Penn State is +140, offering a chance to win $140 on a $100 wager.

The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives Texas A&M a 61.54% chance to win, with the Nittany Lions at 41.67%

The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.

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